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Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₱30.57 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Cosco Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-23), Cosco Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱30.57. The stock price of Cosco Capital is ₱4.75. Therefore, Cosco Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cosco Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:COSCO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14   Med: 0.46   Max: 2.4
Current: 0.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cosco Capital was 2.40. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 0.46.

PHS:COSCO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.21% of 223 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.93 vs PHS:COSCO: 0.16

Cosco Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cosco Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cosco Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cosco Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.70 25.33 29.52 31.31 31.96

Cosco Capital Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.13 28.88 28.33 31.96 30.57

Competitive Comparison of Cosco Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Cosco Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cosco Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cosco Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cosco Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cosco Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cosco Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₱12,163.87.

Cosco Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.993856731996*12163.87328+94567.544*0.8)/6849.427
=30.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cosco Capital  (PHS:COSCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cosco Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.75/30.569260077736
=0.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cosco Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cosco Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Number 900 D. Romualdez Street, 2nd Floor, Tabacalera Building Number 2, Paco, Manila, PHL, 1007
Cosco Capital Inc is a holding retail company based out of the Philippines that has operations in wine & liquor distribution, real estate, oil and minerals, and retail establishments. The majority of the company's revenue can be traced back to its grocery chain, which operates under subsidiary Puregold Price Club. The company's chain of grocery stores is complemented by membership-shopping club business and a wine and liquor distributor. Furthermore, the company is able to lease land, commercial buildings, and oil-storage facilities for customers and its own businesses. Cosco's oil and mineral subsidiaries engage in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves in the Philippines.

Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) Headlines

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