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Marlborough Wine Estates Group (NZSE:MWE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : NZ$0.07 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Marlborough Wine Estates Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-05), Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is NZ$0.07. The stock price of Marlborough Wine Estates Group is NZ$0.129. Therefore, Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:MWE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.84   Med: 2.39   Max: 2.56
Current: 1.84

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Marlborough Wine Estates Group was 2.56. The lowest was 1.84. And the median was 2.39.

NZSE:MWE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.83% of 154 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.235 vs NZSE:MWE: 1.84

Marlborough Wine Estates Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marlborough Wine Estates Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Marlborough Wine Estates Group Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 0.07 0.07

Marlborough Wine Estates Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.07 - 0.07 -

Competitive Comparison of Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Marlborough Wine Estates Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = NZ$-0.26.

Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.069800320413*-0.26214285714286+31.08*0.8)/296.954
=0.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Marlborough Wine Estates Group  (NZSE:MWE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.129/0.071309705693735
=1.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Marlborough Wine Estates Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Marlborough Wine Estates Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Marlborough Wine Estates Group (NZSE:MWE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5-7 Kingdon Street, Level 6, Newmarket, Central, Auckland, NTL, NZL
Marlborough Wine Estates Group Ltd is a New Zealand-based company engaged in vineyard maintenance, grape production, and winemaking. It operates under the brand names of O:TU wines and Music Bay. The group operates in various geographical areas including New Zealand and Oceania; United States; UK/Europe; Australasia and Others. It derives a majority of its revenue from New Zealand and Oceania.

Marlborough Wine Estates Group (NZSE:MWE) Headlines

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