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Magellan Midstream Partners LP (Magellan Midstream Partners LP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $47.49 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Magellan Midstream Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-05), Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $47.49. The stock price of Magellan Midstream Partners LP is $69.00. Therefore, Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MMP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.04   Med: 1.91   Max: 4.71
Current: 1.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Magellan Midstream Partners LP was 4.71. The lowest was 1.04. And the median was 1.91.

MMP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.82 vs MMP: 1.45

Magellan Midstream Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Magellan Midstream Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Magellan Midstream Partners LP Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.55 33.84 31.82 35.24 41.31

Magellan Midstream Partners LP Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.73 38.76 41.31 44.00 47.49

Competitive Comparison of Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Magellan Midstream Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $800.40.

Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.336311950585*800.3976+1714.5*0.8)/203.100
=47.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Magellan Midstream Partners LP  (NYSE:MMP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Magellan Midstream Partners LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=69.00/47.487736475134
=1.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Magellan Midstream Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Magellan Midstream Partners LP (Magellan Midstream Partners LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One Williams Center, P.O. Box 22186, Tulsa, OK, USA, 74121-2186
Magellan Midstream Partners is a master limited partnership that operates pipelines and storage terminals in the Central and Eastern United States. Its assets transport, store, and distribute refined petroleum products and crude and earn a fee-based stream of cash flows. Assets include the country's longest petroleum pipeline network and several crude oil pipelines. Refined products make about 70% of operating margin, with the remainder mainly crude-oil pipelines.
Executives
James R Hoskin officer: Senior Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
James R Montague director FIVE RADNOR CORPORATE CENTER, SUITE 500, RADNOR PA 19087
Kyle T Krshka officer: Senior Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
Sivasankaran Somasundaram director C/O APERGY CORPORATION, 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD, BLD 4, FL 9, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Melanie A Little officer: Senior Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
Mark B Roles officer: Senior Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
Lisa J Korner officer: Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, MD 28-1, TULSA OK 74172
Chansoo Joung director C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Jeff R Selvidge officer: Senior Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
Douglas J May officer: Senior Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 4100, TULSA OK 74172
Robert G Croyle director ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
Michael C Pearson officer: Senior Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 2800, TULSA OK 74172
Jeffrey L Holman officer: Senior Vice President & CFO ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, TULSA OK 74172
Michael N Mears officer: Vice President ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, MD 28-1, TULSA OK 74172
Lori Gobillot director 5103 CITY WEST BLVD., 4TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77042