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Medpace Holdings (Medpace Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $141.78 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Medpace Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-07), Medpace Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $141.78. The stock price of Medpace Holdings is $403.54. Therefore, Medpace Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Medpace Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MEDP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.67   Med: 2.15   Max: 3.42
Current: 2.85

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Medpace Holdings was 3.42. The lowest was 1.67. And the median was 2.15.

MEDP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
77.89% of 95 companies
in the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry
Industry Median: 1.63 vs MEDP: 2.85

Medpace Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Medpace Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Medpace Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Medpace Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 49.22 63.62 101.06 130.53

Medpace Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 104.32 113.30 120.44 130.53 141.78

Competitive Comparison of Medpace Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Medpace Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Medpace Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Medpace Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Medpace Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Medpace Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Medpace Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $269.12.

Medpace Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*269.11744+671.542*0.8)/32.001
=141.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Medpace Holdings  (NAS:MEDP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Medpace Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=403.54/141.77784477119
=2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Medpace Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Medpace Holdings (Medpace Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5375 Medpace Way, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45227
Medpace is a late-stage contract research organization, or CRO, that provides full-service drug development and clinical trial services to small and midsized biotechnology, pharmaceutical, and medical device firms. Medpace also offers ancillary services such as bio-analytical laboratory services and imaging capabilities. The company was founded over 30 years ago, and it has over 5,400 employees across 40 countries. Medpace is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, and its operations are principally based in the U.S., but it also operates in Europe, Asia, South America, Africa, and Australia. Cinven, a global private equity firm, acquired Medpace for $915 million in February 2014, and it exited Medpace in August 2018.
Executives
Susan E Burwig officer: Exec. VP, Operations C/O MEDPACE HOLDINGS, INC., 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
August J. Troendle director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Medpace Investors, Llc 10 percent owner 4620 WESLEY AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45212
Robert O. Kraft director ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Kevin M. Brady officer: CFO & Treasurer MEDPACE HOLDINGS, INC., 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Stephen P Ewald officer: General Counsel & Corp. Secy. C/O MEDPACE HOLDINGS,INC., 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINTINNATI OH 45227
Femida H. Gwadry-sridhar director 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Ashley M. Keating director 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Davenport Fred B Jr director
Brian T Carley director C/O MEDPACE HOLDINGS, INC., 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Mccarthy Cornelius P. Iii director 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Jesse J Geiger officer: CFO & COO, Lab Operations C/O MEDPACE HOLDINGS, INC., 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Tom C King director 5375 MEDPACE WAY, CINCINNATI OH 45227
Medpace Limited Partnership 10 percent owner EAST WING, TRAFALGAR COURT, LES BANQUES, ST. PETER PORT, CHANNEL ISLANDS Y7 GY1 3PP
Cinven Capital Management (v) General Partner Ltd 10 percent owner EAST WING, TRAFALGAR COURT, LES BANQUES, ST. PETER PORT Y7 GY1 3PP

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