GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Alcoholic » Constellation Brands Inc (LTS:0REP) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Constellation Brands (LTS:0REP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : CHF97.14 (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

What is Constellation Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-05), Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF97.14. The stock price of Constellation Brands is CHF196.35848. Therefore, Constellation Brands's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0REP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.56   Med: 2.13   Max: 2.8
Current: 2.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Constellation Brands was 2.80. The lowest was 1.56. And the median was 2.13.

LTS:0REP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
71.24% of 153 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.28 vs LTS:0REP: 2.02

Constellation Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Constellation Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Constellation Brands Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 116.67 70.90 106.48 89.10 100.10

Constellation Brands Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 89.10 95.73 94.74 103.20 100.10

Competitive Comparison of Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Constellation Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Constellation Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Constellation Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Constellation Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Constellation Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Constellation Brands's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CHF1,534.65.

Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1534.65088+8545.673*0.8)/183.548
=116.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Constellation Brands  (LTS:0REP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Constellation Brands's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=196.35848/116.84657067719
=1.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Constellation Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Constellation Brands (LTS:0REP) Business Description

Address
207 High Point Drive, Building 100, Victor, New York, NY, USA, 14564
Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages across the beer, wine, and spirits categories in the U.S., generating 80% of revenue from Mexican beer imports under top-selling brands such as Modelo and Corona. The rest of the business includes some remaining wine and spirits brands, categories where the company continue to prune assets in recent years. With its exclusive rights tied to the Mexican beer brands effective only in the U.S., the firm has small revenue exposure to international markets. Constellation owns a 36% stake in no-moat Canopy Growth, a medicinal and recreational cannabis producer in Canada, and has a 50/50 joint venture with glass manufacturer Owens-Illinois in Mexico.

Constellation Brands (LTS:0REP) Headlines

No Headlines