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PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : Rp15,966.55 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-17), PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is Rp15,966.55. The stock price of PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk is Rp6100.00. Therefore, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:AALI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 1.42   Max: 3.02
Current: 0.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk was 3.02. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 1.42.

ISX:AALI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
90.84% of 1234 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.16 vs ISX:AALI: 0.38

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7,814.58 8,747.54 13,301.80 14,968.60 15,082.50

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15,066.80 14,702.60 15,628.80 15,082.50 15,966.50

Competitive Comparison of PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Farm Products subindustry, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = Rp1,294,035.52.

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.9881567514702*1294035.52+22256992*0.8)/1924.688
=15,966.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk  (ISX:AALI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6100.00/15966.54793698
=0.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Jalan Puloayang Raya Blok OR-1, Kawasan Industri Pulogadung, Jakarta, IDN, 13930
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk cultivates oil palm plantations and operates several oil palm mills and refineries in Southeast Asia. The company produces crude palm oil and palm kernel oil from its own plantations. Additionally, it purchases products harvested from oil palm trees from smaller third parties in communities surrounding its own plantations. The oils and products harvested are shipped to oil mills and refineries as the company can generate multiple uses from a single plant. Astra Agro Lestari has established marketing offices to help export its refined product to various regions located throughout Asia. It has implemented mechanization, automation, and a water management system to streamline processes and enhance efficiency.

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI) Headlines

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