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Heritage Insurance Holdings (Heritage Insurance Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $30.45 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Heritage Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-06), Heritage Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $30.45. The stock price of Heritage Insurance Holdings is $8.15. Therefore, Heritage Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heritage Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HRTG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.06   Med: 0.18   Max: 0.31
Current: 0.27

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Heritage Insurance Holdings was 0.31. The lowest was 0.06. And the median was 0.18.

HRTG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
86.08% of 388 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.665 vs HRTG: 0.27

Heritage Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heritage Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Heritage Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Heritage Insurance Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 66.63 61.84 46.37 31.37 30.45

Heritage Insurance Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.39 34.68 26.69 30.45 -

Competitive Comparison of Heritage Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Heritage Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heritage Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Heritage Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heritage Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Heritage Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Heritage Insurance Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $72.19.

Heritage Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.145567245439*72.19072+234.935*0.8)/30.436
=32.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heritage Insurance Holdings  (NYSE:HRTG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Heritage Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.15/32.611201348951
=0.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heritage Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Heritage Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Heritage Insurance Holdings (Heritage Insurance Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1401 N. Westshore Boulevard, Tampa, FL, USA, 33607
Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc is a regional property and casualty insurance company that offers a variety of personal and commercial insurance products. Through its subsidiaries, Heritage Property & Casualty Insurance, Narragansett Bay Insurance, and Zephyr Insurance, the company issues personal residential property insurance in more than 10 states in the United States. It also offers commercial residential insurance primarily for its Florida properties. Heritage Insurance manages insurance underwriting, customer services, actuarial analysis, distribution, and claims processing internally.
Executives
Paul L Whiting director 2910 BAY TO BAY BLVD #200, TAMPA FL 33629
Ernie J Garateix officer: Chief Operating Officer 2600 MCCORMICK DRIVE, SUITE 300, CLEARWATER IL 33759
Richard A Widdicombe director, officer: President P O BOX 407193, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33340
Raymond T Hyer 10 percent owner 3919 E 7TH AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33605
Timothy Moura officer: See Remarks C/O 2600 MCCORMICK DRIVE, SUITE 300, CLEARWATER FL 33301
Kirk Lusk officer: Chief Financial Officer 2600 MCCORMICK DRIVE, SUITE 300, CLEARWATER FL 33759
Sean W Poole other: Member of Group 3919 E 7TH AVE, TAMPA FL 33605
Tara K Tira other: Member of Group 3919 E 7TH AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33605
Kathleen A Hyer other: Member of Group 3919 E 7TH AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33605
Hyer Family Partnership, Llc other: Member of Group 3919 E 7TH AVE, TAMPA FL 33605
Futura Circuits Corp. other: Member of Group 3919 E 7TH AVE, TAMPA FL 33605
Steven C. Martindale officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC., 2600 MCCORMICK DRIVE SUITE 300, CLEARWATER FL 33759
Timothy E. Johns officer: See Remarks C/O HEI, P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Bruce Lucas director, officer: Chairman & CEO 2109 E. PALM AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33605
Mark S Berset director 700 CENTRAL AVE, SAINT PETERSBURG FL 33701

Heritage Insurance Holdings (Heritage Insurance Holdings) Headlines