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China State Construction International Holdings (HKSE:03311) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$3.48 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is China State Construction International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-23), China State Construction International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$3.48. The stock price of China State Construction International Holdings is HK$9.94. Therefore, China State Construction International Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for China State Construction International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03311' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.27   Med: 2.59   Max: 311
Current: 2.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of China State Construction International Holdings was 311.00. The lowest was 1.27. And the median was 2.59.

HKSE:03311's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
86.19% of 1144 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.93 vs HKSE:03311: 2.86

China State Construction International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China State Construction International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China State Construction International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

China State Construction International Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.21 3.48 4.82 4.25 3.48

China State Construction International Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.82 - 4.25 - 3.48

Competitive Comparison of China State Construction International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, China State Construction International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China State Construction International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, China State Construction International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China State Construction International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



China State Construction International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get China State Construction International Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-2,683.67.

China State Construction International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-2683.6662857143+71741.201*0.8)/5037.617
=3.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China State Construction International Holdings  (HKSE:03311) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

China State Construction International Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=9.94/3.4751667692117
=2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China State Construction International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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China State Construction International Holdings (HKSE:03311) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
139 Hennessy Road, 28th Floor, China Overseas Building, Wanchai, HKG
China State Construction International Holdings Ltd is engaged in the construction business. The company's activities include construction, project consultancy services, thermoelectricity business, infrastructure project investments, toll road operation, and facade contracting business. The company reports in the following segments Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and CSC Development Group. It derives a majority of its revenue from Mainland China.

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