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China Kepei Education Group (HKSE:01890) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$4.70 (As of Jun. 01, 2024)


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What is China Kepei Education Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-01), China Kepei Education Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$4.70. The stock price of China Kepei Education Group is HK$1.54. Therefore, China Kepei Education Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Kepei Education Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01890' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33   Med: 0.49   Max: 0.52
Current: 0.33

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of China Kepei Education Group was 0.52. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.49.

HKSE:01890's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
83.97% of 156 companies
in the Education industry
Industry Median: 0.785 vs HKSE:01890: 0.33

China Kepei Education Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Kepei Education Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Kepei Education Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

China Kepei Education Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 3.89 4.70

China Kepei Education Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.89 - 4.70 -

Competitive Comparison of China Kepei Education Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, China Kepei Education Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Kepei Education Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Kepei Education Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Kepei Education Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



China Kepei Education Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get China Kepei Education Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$380.78.

China Kepei Education Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Aug23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*380.78042857143+4742.123*0.8)/2012.436
=4.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Kepei Education Group  (HKSE:01890) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

China Kepei Education Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.54/4.6973448583068
=0.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Kepei Education Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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China Kepei Education Group (HKSE:01890) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Qifu Road, Gaoyao District, Guangdong Province, Zhaoqing, CHN
China Kepei Education Group Ltd is a provider of private vocational education services in China focusing on profession-oriented and vocational education. It earns revenues from tuition fees, higher education program, Secondary vocational education, Boarding fees and other educational services. The company-operated schools include Guangdong Polytechnic College, an undergraduate-level higher education institution; and Zhaoqing Science and Technology Secondary Vocational School both located in Zhaoqing, Guangdong Province. The Company operates and Generates revenue from China.
Executives
Ye Nianqiao 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Ye Xun 2101 Beneficial owner
Cantrust (far East) Limited 2301 Trustee
Qiaoge Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Ye Liya Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shu Liping 2202 Interest of your spouse
Huanleye Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Weixin Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Ye Nianjiu 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Ye Kasi Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chenye Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shuye Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shu Feiya Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Areo Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Skyline Miracle Limited 2101 Beneficial owner

China Kepei Education Group (HKSE:01890) Headlines

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