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Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co (HKSE:01853) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$4.21 (As of May. 31, 2024)


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What is Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-31), Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$4.21. The stock price of Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co is HK$1.78. Therefore, Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01853' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.49   Max: 0.52
Current: 0.42

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co was 0.52. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.49.

HKSE:01853's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
76.07% of 234 companies
in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry
Industry Median: 0.905 vs HKSE:01853: 0.42

Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 3.78 4.21

Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 3.78 - 4.21

Competitive Comparison of Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$105.74.

Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.336311950585*105.735+1082.673*0.8)/465.214
=4.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co  (HKSE:01853) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.78/4.2110691941668
=0.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co (HKSE:01853) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 998 Nanhu Road, No. 28, Block B, Nanhu Road Community, Nanguan District, Jilin Province, Changchun, CHN
Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co Ltd is a heat service provider in Jilin Province. The heat supply activities include the provision and distribution of heat, pipeline connection, and heat transmission services. Further, it is also engaged in the offer of construction, maintenance, and design services which include engineering construction, engineering maintenance, design services, and electrical and instrument maintenance and repair services. It operates in two segments: Heat supply segment and Construction, maintenance and design services segment. It derives the majority of its revenue from the Heat supply segment.
Executives
Dong Bei Ya Wan Zhong Chuang Tou Zi Guan Li Ji Lin You Xian Gong Si 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Zhong Guo Dui Wai Jing Ji Mao Yi Xin Tuo You Xian Gong Si 2301 Trustee
Cititrust Private Trust (cayman) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fantasy Races Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Harvest Well Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Joywise Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ming Fai International Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd 2101 Beneficial owner
Guo Tou Tai Kang Xin Tuo You Xian Gong Si 2301 Trustee
He Li Bo 2101 Beneficial owner
Wang Fu Jiang 2101 Beneficial owner

Jilin Province Chuncheng Heating Co (HKSE:01853) Headlines

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