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Sino Gas Holdings Group (HKSE:01759) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$2.41 (As of May. 29, 2024)


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What is Sino Gas Holdings Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-29), Sino Gas Holdings Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$2.41. The stock price of Sino Gas Holdings Group is HK$0.67. Therefore, Sino Gas Holdings Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sino Gas Holdings Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01759' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.15   Med: 0.26   Max: 0.41
Current: 0.28

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Sino Gas Holdings Group was 0.41. The lowest was 0.15. And the median was 0.26.

HKSE:01759's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
87.28% of 731 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.8 vs HKSE:01759: 0.28

Sino Gas Holdings Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sino Gas Holdings Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sino Gas Holdings Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Sino Gas Holdings Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 3.19 2.61 2.41

Sino Gas Holdings Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.19 - 2.61 - 2.41

Competitive Comparison of Sino Gas Holdings Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Sino Gas Holdings Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sino Gas Holdings Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Sino Gas Holdings Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sino Gas Holdings Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Sino Gas Holdings Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Sino Gas Holdings Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$19.24.

Sino Gas Holdings Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*19.235+422.426*0.8)/216.000
=2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sino Gas Holdings Group  (HKSE:01759) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Sino Gas Holdings Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.67/2.4123368655018
=0.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sino Gas Holdings Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Sino Gas Holdings Group (HKSE:01759) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13 Haian Road, Room 3103, Block A1, Caifu Shi Ji Plaza, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, CHN
Sino Gas Holdings Group Ltd is an integrated LPG and natural gas supplier in China. The company's segments include Retail and Wholesale. The Retail segment generates revenue from the sale of LPG, CNG, and LNG to vehicular end users by operating gas refueling stations, industrial customers, and bottled LPG end-users whereas, the Wholesale segment generates revenue from the sale of LPG, CNG, and LNG to gas merchants. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from the Wholesale segment in the People's Republic of China.
Executives
China Full Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Petrochemical Gas Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ubs Trustees (b.v.i.) Limited 2301 Trustee
Petrochemical Gas Energy Group Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Petrochemical Gas Energy Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Ji Guang 2501 Other
Yang Ling 2202 Interest of your spouse

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