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Ausnutria Dairy (HKSE:01717) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$3.24 (As of May. 30, 2024)


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What is Ausnutria Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-30), Ausnutria Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$3.24. The stock price of Ausnutria Dairy is HK$2.31. Therefore, Ausnutria Dairy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ausnutria Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01717' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.71   Med: 2.62   Max: 6.57
Current: 0.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ausnutria Dairy was 6.57. The lowest was 0.71. And the median was 2.62.

HKSE:01717's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
71.2% of 1243 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.14 vs HKSE:01717: 0.71

Ausnutria Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ausnutria Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ausnutria Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ausnutria Dairy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.83 4.43 5.37 4.02 3.24

Ausnutria Dairy Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.37 - 4.02 - 3.24

Competitive Comparison of Ausnutria Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Ausnutria Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ausnutria Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ausnutria Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ausnutria Dairy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ausnutria Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ausnutria Dairy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$88.12.

Ausnutria Dairy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*88.117714285714+6227.395*0.8)/1797.098
=3.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ausnutria Dairy  (HKSE:01717) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ausnutria Dairy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.31/3.2390151354199
=0.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ausnutria Dairy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Ausnutria Dairy (HKSE:01717) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
168-200 Connaught Road Central, Unit 16, 36th Floor, China Merchants Tower, Shun Tak Centre, Sheung Wan, Hong Kong, HKG
Ausnutria Dairy Corp Ltd is active in the dairy industry. Its business activities include research and development, milk collection, processing, production, packaging, marketing, and sales of dairy products. The company operates through Dairy and related products and Nutrition product segments. It generates maximum revenue from the Dairy and related products segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the PRC and also has a presence in European Union; the Middle East; North and South America; Australia; New Zealand, and other countries.
Executives
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd.
Chen Miaoyuan 2202 Interest of your spouse
Ausnutria Holding Co Ltd 2101 Beneficial owner
Center Laboratories, Inc. 2101 Beneficial owner
Yan Weibin 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fan Deming Bv 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo Guo You Qi Ye Jie Gou Tiao Zheng Ji Jin Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citic Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citic Group Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citic Agri Fund Management Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citagri Easter Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Chengtong Citic Agriculture Fund Lp 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Changsha Kunxin Xin'ao Investment Lp 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Dutch Dairy Investments Hk Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Dutch Dairy Investments B.v. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Ausnutria Dairy (HKSE:01717) Headlines

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