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Progressive Path Group Holdings (HKSE:01581) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$1.25 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Progressive Path Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-16), Progressive Path Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$1.25. The stock price of Progressive Path Group Holdings is HK$0.134. Therefore, Progressive Path Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Progressive Path Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01581' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.11   Med: 0.27   Max: 6.08
Current: 0.11

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Progressive Path Group Holdings was 6.08. The lowest was 0.11. And the median was 0.27.

HKSE:01581's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.81% of 673 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.97 vs HKSE:01581: 0.11

Progressive Path Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Progressive Path Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Progressive Path Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Progressive Path Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.24 1.09 1.34 1.50 1.25

Progressive Path Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.50 - 1.25 -

Competitive Comparison of Progressive Path Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Progressive Path Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive Path Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Progressive Path Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive Path Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Progressive Path Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Progressive Path Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$22.82.

Progressive Path Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*22.822571428571+234.405*0.8)/325.007
=1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Progressive Path Group Holdings  (HKSE:01581) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Progressive Path Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.134/1.2455205713231
=0.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Progressive Path Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Progressive Path Group Holdings (HKSE:01581) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Number 22 Hoi Wing Road, Unit 1108, 11th Floor, Tuen Mun Central Square, Tuen Mun, New Territories, Hong Kong, HKG
Progressive Path Group Holdings Ltd is engaged in construction engineering work and the provision of construction machinery rental services in Hong Kong. Its construction machinery rental services represent the rental of construction machines and construction vehicles to customers, and the provision of machine operators and transportation services as part of its one-stop construction machinery rental services. Its construction works represent the construction projects undertaken, the nature of which are broadly classified as foundation and site formation works, and builder's work and general building works. Its segments are Construction works and Construction Machinery Rental.

Progressive Path Group Holdings (HKSE:01581) Headlines

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