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Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings (HKSE:01563) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$5.46 (As of May. 30, 2024)


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What is Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-30), Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$5.46. The stock price of Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings is HK$0.54. Therefore, Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01563' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1   Med: 1.68   Max: 1.7
Current: 0.1

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings was 1.70. The lowest was 0.10. And the median was 1.68.

HKSE:01563's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.71% of 155 companies
in the Education industry
Industry Median: 0.77 vs HKSE:01563: 0.10

Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 1.55 5.46

Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 5.46 - -

Competitive Comparison of Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$419.74.

Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*419.73871428571+2500.588*0.8)/1509.415
=5.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings  (HKSE:01563) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.54/5.458340742217
=0.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings (HKSE:01563) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.1 Hennessy Road, Unit 2602, 26th Floor, One Hennessy, Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
Alliance International Education Leasing Holdings Ltd is mainly engaged in finance leasing, advisory services and private higher education. The company operating segments are: The Finance Leasing segment mainly provides finance leasing and advisory services to customers in industries including healthcare, transportation and public infrastructure, where finance leasing services include sale-leaseback and direct finance leasing. The Private Higher Education segment provides undergraduate and specialist diploma courses as approved by the Ministry of Education of China.
Executives
Union Capital Pte. Ltd.
Sui Yongqing
Pa Investment Funds Spc-pa Financial Leasing Fund Sp 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sui Yongqing
Pa Investment Funds Spc - Pa Financial Leasing Fund Sp 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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