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Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co (HKSE:00631) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$3.17 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-12), Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$3.17. The stock price of Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co is HK$6.76. Therefore, Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00631' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.63   Med: 2.17   Max: 2.91
Current: 2.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co was 2.91. The lowest was 1.63. And the median was 2.17.

HKSE:00631's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
70.2% of 151 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 1.22 vs HKSE:00631: 2.13

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.94 3.12 3.53 3.64 3.17

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.64 - - - 3.17

Competitive Comparison of Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$107.55.

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*107.55071428571+12676.306*0.8)/3698.085
=3.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co  (HKSE:00631) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.76/3.1744899805501
=2.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co (HKSE:00631) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 25, 16 Kaifa Road, Economic and Technological Development Area, Liaoning Province, Shenyang, CHN, 110000
Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Company Limited is a China-based investment holding company. The Company mainly conducts its businesses through two segments. The Mining Equipment segment is mainly engaged in the production and sales of coal machinery, non-coal mining, mining vehicles, robots and smart mining products and accessories, as well as the provision of related services. The Logistics Equipment segment is mainly engaged in the production and sales of container equipment, bulk material equipment, general equipment and accessories and the provision of related services. The Company conducts its businesses in the domestic market and overseas markets.

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Co (HKSE:00631) Headlines

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