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Applied Development Holdings (HKSE:00519) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.04 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Applied Development Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-08), Applied Development Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.04. The stock price of Applied Development Holdings is HK$0.093. Therefore, Applied Development Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Applied Development Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00519' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 1.42   Max: 5.55
Current: 2.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Applied Development Holdings was 5.55. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 1.42.

HKSE:00519's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.39% of 1273 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs HKSE:00519: 2.33

Applied Development Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Applied Development Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Applied Development Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Applied Development Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.36 0.27 0.16 0.07 0.04

Applied Development Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.07 - 0.04 -

Competitive Comparison of Applied Development Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Applied Development Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Applied Development Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Applied Development Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Development Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Applied Development Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Applied Development Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-35.73.

Applied Development Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-35.725857142857+797.464*0.8)/2505.106
=0.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Applied Development Holdings  (HKSE:00519) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Applied Development Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.093/0.042708839891855
=2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Applied Development Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Applied Development Holdings (HKSE:00519) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
89 Queensway, Unit 2408A, 24th Floor, Tower 1, Lippo Centre, Hong Kong, HKG
Applied Development Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. Its business activities are segmented as follows: Resort and Property Development segment which includes properties under development for commercial purposes; Property Investment segment includes mainly commercial properties that are held for capital appreciation or to earn rental income; and Investment Holding segment includes holding of unlisted investment fund, equity securities, debt instruments, equity-linked notes, and other assets. The majority of its revenue is derived from Resort and Property investment. The group's operations are principally located in Hong Kong, and the People's Republic of China, out of which the People's Republic of China contributes the vast majority of revenue.
Executives
Li Fuyi
Wu Zhanming
Ruixing Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Wu Zhanming 2101 Beneficial owner

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