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GCL New Energy Holdings (HKSE:00451) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$-22.81 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is GCL New Energy Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-08), GCL New Energy Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$-22.81. The stock price of GCL New Energy Holdings is HK$0.44. Therefore, GCL New Energy Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for GCL New Energy Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of GCL New Energy Holdings was 119.77. The lowest was 119.77. And the median was 119.77.

HKSE:00451's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.
Industry Median: 0.86
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

GCL New Energy Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for GCL New Energy Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GCL New Energy Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

GCL New Energy Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -83.24 -76.75 -77.04 -33.96 -22.81

GCL New Energy Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -77.04 - -33.96 - -22.81

Competitive Comparison of GCL New Energy Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, GCL New Energy Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GCL New Energy Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, GCL New Energy Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GCL New Energy Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



GCL New Energy Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get GCL New Energy Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-2,985.70.

GCL New Energy Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2985.7045714286+2248.188*0.8)/1167.436
=-22.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GCL New Energy Holdings  (HKSE:00451) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

GCL New Energy Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.44/-22.807594490558
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GCL New Energy Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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GCL New Energy Holdings (HKSE:00451) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
28 Xinqing Road, Industrial Park, GCL New Energy Center, Suzhou, CHN
GCL New Energy Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company that engages in the sale of electricity and development, construction, operation, and management of solar power plants. The company generates nearly all of its revenue from China.
Executives
Elite Time Global Limited
Asia Pacific Energy Fund Limited
Credit Suisse Trust Limited
Dongsheng Photovoltaic Technology (hong Kong) Limited
Gcl Technology Holdings Limited
Zhu Gongshan
Zhu Yufeng
Xie Xin Ji Cheng Ke Ji Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si
Invesco Exchange-traded Fund Trust Ii - Invesco Solar Etf 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Invesco Capital Management Llc 2102 Investment manager
The Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shang Hai Qi Xun Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ying Kou Qi Yin Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiang Su Xie Xin Jian She Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ju Rong Xie Xin Ji Cheng Ke Ji You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

GCL New Energy Holdings (HKSE:00451) Headlines

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