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Graphic Packaging Holding Co (Graphic Packaging Holding Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $8.01 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Graphic Packaging Holding Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-07), Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.01. The stock price of Graphic Packaging Holding Co is $27.405. Therefore, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GPK' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.11   Med: 1.73   Max: 89.16
Current: 3.42

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Graphic Packaging Holding Co was 89.16. The lowest was 1.11. And the median was 1.73.

GPK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
89.31% of 290 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 0.99 vs GPK: 3.42

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.65 0.19 -2.54 -0.12 9.33

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.99 3.97 6.39 9.33 8.01

Competitive Comparison of Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Graphic Packaging Holding Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $13.28.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.26395753773*13.28+2857*0.8)/309.100
=8.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Graphic Packaging Holding Co  (NYSE:GPK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=27.405/8.0071994697543
=3.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Graphic Packaging Holding Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Graphic Packaging Holding Co (Graphic Packaging Holding Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1500 Riveredge Parkway, Suite 100, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
Graphic Packaging Holding Co is a holding company that manufactures and sells a variety of paper-based consumer packaging products through its subsidiaries. The company's two primary functions include the sale of paperboard packaging and the operation of paperboard mills. The paperboard packaging business includes packaging for beverages, including beer and soft drinks as well as food, including cereal, frozen foods, and pet foods. The firm also sells paperboard packaging for household products, including dishwasher and laundry detergent and personal care products. Graphic Packaging operates papermills that sell laminated and coated packaging products to third parties. The majority of revenue comes from the Americas.
Executives
Stephen R. Scherger officer: SVP, Consumer Packaging Div. 3901 SULGRAVE ROAD, RICHMOND VA 23221
Lynn A Wentworth director CINCINNATI BELL INC, P O BOX 2301, CINCINNATI OH 45201
Michael James Farrell officer: EVP, Mills Division 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 100, ATLANTA GA 30328
Jean Francois Roche officer: SVP and President, EMEA 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 100, AT GA 30328
Elizabeth Spence officer: EVP, Human Resources 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, N.W., SUITE 100, ATLANTA GA 30328
Aziz Aghili director 5706 KIRKRIDGE TRAIL, ROCHESTER HILLS MI 48306
Margie Kay Bidlingmaier officer: EVP, President, Americas Busi 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 100, ATLANTA GA 30328
Mary K Rhinehart director 821 17TH STREET, DENVER CO 80202
Joseph P Yost officer: SVP, Supply Chain 814 LIVINGSTON COURT, MARIETTA GA 30067
Larry M Venturelli director 2000 M-63N, BENTON HARBOR MI 49022
Charles D Lischer officer: SVP & CAO 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 700, ATLANTA GA 30339
Stacey J. Panayiotou officer: EVP, Human Resources 9200 W. 108TH CIRCLE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
Robert Hagemann director 3 GIRALDA FARMS, MADISON NJ 07940
Laurie Brlas director C/O ALBEMARLE CORPORATION, 4250 CONGRESS ST STE 900, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Dean A Scarborough director 150 N. ORANGE GROVE BLVD, PASADENA CA 91103