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Great Elm Group (Great Elm Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.72 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Great Elm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-05), Great Elm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.72. The stock price of Great Elm Group is $1.90. Therefore, Great Elm Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Great Elm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GEG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.51   Med: 2.49   Max: 43
Current: 2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Great Elm Group was 43.00. The lowest was 1.51. And the median was 2.49.

GEG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
89.11% of 937 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.93 vs GEG: 2.63

Great Elm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Great Elm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Great Elm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Great Elm Group Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.92 0.06 -3.70 0.05 1.06

Great Elm Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.11 1.50 1.06 0.94 0.72

Competitive Comparison of Great Elm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Asset Management subindustry, Great Elm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Great Elm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Great Elm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Great Elm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Great Elm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Great Elm Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-3.44.

Great Elm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-3.4352+67.596*0.8)/29.889
=0.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Great Elm Group  (NAS:GEG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Great Elm Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.90/0.71506200266123
=2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Great Elm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Great Elm Group (Great Elm Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 South Street, Suite 230, Waltham, MA, USA, 02453
Great Elm Group Inc operates as a holding company. It focuses on growing a scalable and diversified portfolio of long-duration, permanent capital vehicles across corporate credit, specialty finance, real estate, and other asset classes. The company's only segment is investment management.
Executives
Jason W. Reese director, 10 percent owner C/O IMPERIAL CAPITAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, L, 10100 SANTA MONICA BLVD. SUITE 2400, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
James H Hugar director C/O VITESSE SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 4721 CALLE CARGA, CAMARILLO CA 93012
Matthew A Drapkin director 10 CORBIN DRIVE, 3RD FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Northern Right Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: Member of 13D 10% Group 9 OLD KINGS HWY. S., 4TH FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Keri Davis officer: Chief Financial Officer 800 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 230, WALTHAM MA 02453
Imperial Capital Group Holdings Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 3801 PGA BOULEVARD, SUITE 603, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33410
Adam M Kleinman officer: President 800 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 230, WALTHAM MA 02453
Peter A Reed officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O UNWIRED PLANET, INC., 170 S. VIRGINIA STREET SUITE 201, RENO NV 89501
Nichole Milz officer: Chief Operating Officer 800 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 230, WALTHAM MA 02453
Nrc Partners I, Lp 10 percent owner 9 OLD KINGS HIGHWAY SOUTH, 4TH FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Northern Right Capital (qp), L.p. 10 percent owner 9 OLD KINGS HWY. S., 4TH FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Bc Advisors Llc 10 percent owner 500 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 230, DALLAS TX 75201
David Matter director 800 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 230, WALTHAM MA 02453
Thomas S Harbin director SOURCE CAPITAL, LLC, 75 FOURTEENTH STREET, SUITE 2700, ATLANTA GA 30309
James P Parmelee director 100 UNION SQUARE DRIVE, NEW HOPE PA 18938