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Black Stone Minerals LP (Black Stone Minerals LP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $14.70 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Black Stone Minerals LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-06), Black Stone Minerals LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.70. The stock price of Black Stone Minerals LP is $16.39. Therefore, Black Stone Minerals LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Black Stone Minerals LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.72   Med: 1.1   Max: 1.46
Current: 1.11

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Black Stone Minerals LP was 1.46. The lowest was 0.72. And the median was 1.10.

BSM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
63.66% of 677 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs BSM: 1.11

Black Stone Minerals LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Black Stone Minerals LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Black Stone Minerals LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Black Stone Minerals LP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.71 9.29 9.43 12.25 14.70

Black Stone Minerals LP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.25 12.89 14.69 15.08 14.70

Competitive Comparison of Black Stone Minerals LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Black Stone Minerals LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Black Stone Minerals LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Black Stone Minerals LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Black Stone Minerals LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Black Stone Minerals LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Black Stone Minerals LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $246.09.

Black Stone Minerals LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*246.088+1217.345*0.8)/225.624
=14.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Black Stone Minerals LP  (NYSE:BSM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Black Stone Minerals LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.39/14.70021045433
=1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Black Stone Minerals LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Black Stone Minerals LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Black Stone Minerals LP (Black Stone Minerals LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1001 Fannin Street, Suite 2020, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Black Stone Minerals LP is an oil and natural gas mineral company. It owns oil and natural gas mineral interests, which make up the majority of the asset base. Its business is actively managing an existing portfolio of mineral and royalty assets to maximize its value and expanding asset base through acquisitions of additional mineral and royalty interests.
Executives
Carter Thomas L Jr officer: President, CEO, and Chairman 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77002
D Mark Dewalch director C/O BLACK STONE MINERALS, L.P., 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
James Whitehead director 1001 FANNIN ST, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77006
Luke Stevens Putman officer: See Remarks 601 JEFFERSON, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Evan Montgomery Kiefer officer: Interim CFO & Treasurer 1001 FANNIN ST, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
Dawn Smajstrla officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 801 LOUISIANA, STE 700, HOUSTON X1 77479
Jeffrey P. Wood officer: SVP, CFO EAGLE ROCK ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P., P.O. BOX 2968, HOUSTON TX 77252-2968
Carrie Pearson Clark officer: SVP, Land and Legal 825 TOWN & COUNTRY LANE, SUITE 1100, HOUSTON TX 77024
William N. Mathis director C/O BLACK STONE MINERALS, L.P., 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
Holbrook F Dorn officer: See Remarks C/O BLACK STONE MINERALS, L.P., 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
Brock Morris officer: See Remarks 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
Alexander D. Stuart director C/O BLACK STONE MINERALS, L.P., 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
William E. Randall director C/O BLACK STONE MINERALS, L.P., 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ricky J. Haeflinger director C/O BLACK STONE MINERALS, L.P., 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77002
William G Bardel director C/O HUDSON CITY BANCORP, INC., WEST 80 CENTURY ROAD, PARAMUS NJ 07652