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Blue Dolphin Energy Co (Blue Dolphin Energy Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $3.76 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Blue Dolphin Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-13), Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.76. The stock price of Blue Dolphin Energy Co is $7.40. Therefore, Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BDCO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.15   Med: 2.5   Max: 2.62
Current: 1.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Blue Dolphin Energy Co was 2.62. The lowest was 1.15. And the median was 2.50.

BDCO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
82.42% of 677 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs BDCO: 1.97

Blue Dolphin Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blue Dolphin Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Blue Dolphin Energy Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.53 -6.47 -8.24 -0.96 3.76

Blue Dolphin Energy Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.96 1.55 0.60 2.45 3.76

Competitive Comparison of Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Blue Dolphin Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2.40.

Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*2.39744+41.599*0.8)/14.922
=3.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blue Dolphin Energy Co  (OTCPK:BDCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=7.40/3.7597957197581
=1.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blue Dolphin Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blue Dolphin Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Blue Dolphin Energy Co (Blue Dolphin Energy Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
801 Travis Street, Suite 2100, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Blue Dolphin Energy Co is a United States-based refiner and marketer of petroleum products. It operates in two segments: Refinery operations and Tolling and Terminaling. The vast majority of its revenue comes from Refinery operations that include refining and marketing petroleum products. Tolling and terminating operations relate to tolling and storage terminating services under related-party and third-party lease agreements.
Executives
Jonathan P Carroll 10 percent owner, officer: CEO & President 4265 SAN FELIPE, 8TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77027
Ryan A. Bailey director C/O BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY COMPANY, 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Amitav Misra director 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Christopher Todd Morris director C/O BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY COMPANY, 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Blue Sky Langsa Ltd 10 percent owner 1509 EAST CHAPMAN AVE., ORANGE CA 92866
Tommy L Byrd officer: INTERIM CFO C/O BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY COMPANY, 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Herbert N Whitney director 400 EAST KALISTE SALOOM #1300, LAFAYETTE LA 70508
A Haag Sherman director 600 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 5900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Mcreynolds Thomas J Jr officer: CFO, SVP & Treasurer C/O BLUE DOLPHIN ENERGY COMPANY, 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Thomas Wayne Heath officer: Executive Vice President 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77002
William J. Dale officer: CFO, Treasurer & Secretary 12918 PARK FOREST TRAIL, CYPRESS TX 77429
T Scott Howard officer: Accting Mgr, Asst Trea/Sect 801 TRAVIS STREET, SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77002
John N Goodpasture director 1200 SMITH STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77002
Michael S Chadwick director 3100 JP MORGAN CHASE TOWER, HOUSTON TX 77002
Erik Ostbye director 1599 POST ROAD EAST, WESTPORT CT 06880

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