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Gulf Hotels Group BSC (BAH:GHG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : BHD0.33 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Gulf Hotels Group BSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-22), Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is BHD0.33. The stock price of Gulf Hotels Group BSC is BHD0.435. Therefore, Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BAH:GHG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.77   Med: 1.33   Max: 1.79
Current: 1.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Gulf Hotels Group BSC was 1.79. The lowest was 0.77. And the median was 1.33.

BAH:GHG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
54.99% of 571 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.19 vs BAH:GHG: 1.32

Gulf Hotels Group BSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gulf Hotels Group BSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Gulf Hotels Group BSC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.33 0.25 0.22 0.32 0.31

Gulf Hotels Group BSC Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.29 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.33

Competitive Comparison of Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Lodging subindustry, Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Gulf Hotels Group BSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = BHD-0.69.

Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-0.68784+101.085*0.8)/225.995
=0.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gulf Hotels Group BSC  (BAH:GHG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Gulf Hotels Group BSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.435/0.32885471518499
=1.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gulf Hotels Group BSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Gulf Hotels Group BSC (BAH:GHG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
P.O. Box 580, Manama, BHR
Gulf Hotels Group BSC is involved in providing hospitality services. The company owns and operates the Gulf Hotel and Crown Plaza Hotels in the Kingdom of Bahrain and Gulf Court Hotel Business Bay in Dubai, UAE, GHG Colombo in Sri Lanka. The company has three segments; Hotel operations including Hotel rooms and rental and executive apartments and offices, food and beverage including the sale of food and beverages, and convention operations, and Investments and other activities including Investment activities of the Group. The company generates revenue on letting hotel rooms and sale of food and beverages.