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AdvanSix (AdvanSix) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $48.76 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is AdvanSix Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-07), AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.76. The stock price of AdvanSix is $23.21. Therefore, AdvanSix's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASIX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 0.89   Max: 1.47
Current: 0.48

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of AdvanSix was 1.47. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 0.89.

ASIX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
88.92% of 1074 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.275 vs ASIX: 0.48

AdvanSix Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AdvanSix Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

AdvanSix Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 20.35 32.17 47.89 48.76

AdvanSix Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.85 54.49 51.14 48.76 -

Competitive Comparison of AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Chemicals subindustry, AdvanSix's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AdvanSix's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, AdvanSix's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AdvanSix's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



AdvanSix Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get AdvanSix's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $55.67.

AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5858149152102*55.6696+713.157*0.8)/26.879
=41.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AdvanSix  (NYSE:ASIX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

AdvanSix's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=23.21/41.079061051519
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AdvanSix Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AdvanSix's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AdvanSix (AdvanSix) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
300 Kimball Drive, Suite 101, Parsippany, NJ, USA, 07054
AdvanSix Inc. is an integrated manufacturer of Nylon 6, a polymer resin and fertilizers. Nylon 6 is a synthetic material used by customers to produce engineered plastics, fibers, filaments, and films, which in turn are used in such end-products as automotive and electronic components, carpets, sports apparel, fishing nets and food and industrial packaging. In addition, it also sells a variety of other products, all of which are produced as part of the Nylon 6 resin manufacturing process including caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizers, and other chemical intermediates. Geographically, the group operates through the United States and its business is also expanding internationally but it derives the majority of its revenue from the United States region.
Executives
Achilles B. Kintiroglou officer: SVP, General Counsel 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Christopher Gramm officer: Controller 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, C/O LEGAL DEPT., PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Michael Marberry director 3050 SPRUCE STREET, ST. LOUIS MO 63103
Farha Aslam director 1770 N PROMOTORY CIRCLE, GREELEY CO 80634
Gena C Lovett director 11324 FOX CREEK FARM WAY, GREAT FALLS VA 22066
Willem L. Blindenbach officer: VP, Integrated Supply Chain 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Kelly Slieter officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, PARSIPPANY NY 07054
Todd D. Karran director 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, C/O LEGAL DEPT., PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Erin N Kane director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Sharon Spurlin director 333 CLAY ST, SUITE 1600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Patrick Williams director 8310 S. VALLEY HWY, SUITE 350, DENVER CO 80112
Daniel F Sansone director VULCAN MATERIALS COMPANY, 1200 URBAN CENTER DRIVE, BIRMINGHAM AL 35242
Michael Preston officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, C/O LEGAL DEPT., PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Jonathan Bellamy officer: SVP & Chief HR Officer 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, C/O LEGAL DEPT., PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
John M Quitmeyer officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Secy 300 KIMBALL DRIVE, SUITE 101, C/O LEGAL DEPT., PARSIPPANY NJ 07054