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Alto Ingredients (Alto Ingredients) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.67 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Alto Ingredients Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-07), Alto Ingredients's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.67. The stock price of Alto Ingredients is $1.96. Therefore, Alto Ingredients's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alto Ingredients's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALTO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.12   Med: 0.9   Max: 1.85
Current: 0.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alto Ingredients was 1.85. The lowest was 0.12. And the median was 0.90.

ALTO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
71.67% of 1073 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.28 vs ALTO: 0.73

Alto Ingredients Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alto Ingredients's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alto Ingredients Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alto Ingredients Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.24 3.76 4.84 4.01 2.67

Alto Ingredients Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.01 2.74 2.68 3.01 2.67

Competitive Comparison of Alto Ingredients's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Alto Ingredients's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alto Ingredients's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Alto Ingredients's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alto Ingredients's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alto Ingredients Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alto Ingredients's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-3.00.

Alto Ingredients's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-3.00288+279.557*0.8)/72.964
=2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alto Ingredients  (NAS:ALTO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alto Ingredients's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.96/2.6733337892592
=0.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alto Ingredients Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alto Ingredients's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alto Ingredients (Alto Ingredients) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1300 South Second Street, Pekin, IL, USA, 61554
Alto Ingredients Inc is a producer of specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. The company serves five markets: Health, Home and Beauty, Food and Beverage, Essential Ingredients, and Renewable Fuels. Its customers include major food and beverage companies and consumer products manufacturers and distributors. The company operates under three segments: Marketing and distribution, Pekin Campus production, and Other production. The Marketing and distribution segment participates in marketing and merchant trading for alcohols and essential ingredients; Pekin Campus produces and sells products produced at the company's Pekin, Illinois, campus, and about half of the firm's revenue flows from this segment. Other production makes and sells from the company's other production facilities.
Executives
Robert R. Olander officer: Chief Financial Officer 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Gilbert E Nathan director C/O EMERGENT CAPITAL, INC., 5355 TOWN CENTER ROAD, SUITE 701, BOCA RATON FL 33486
Auste M Graham officer: Gen. Counsel, VP & Secy C/O ALTO INGREDIENTS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Maria G Gray director C/O ALTO INGREDIENTS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61554
Bryon T Mcgregor officer: Interim CFO 400 CAPITAL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Christopher W Wright officer: VP, General Counsel, & Secy C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
William L Jones 10 percent owner 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
James R Sneed officer: VP of Ethanol Supply & Trading AVENTINE RENEWABLE ENERGY HOLDINGS, INC., 1300 SOUTH SECOND STREET, PEKIN IL 61555
Neil M Koehler director, officer: CEO, President PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 5711 N. WEST AVENUE, FRESNO CA 93711
Douglas L Kieta director 17831 SHADOW VALLEY DRIVE, SPRING TX 77379
Winston Mar officer: Chief Restructuring Officer 46 PENINSULA CENTER #188, ROLLING HILLS ESTATES CA 90274
Dianne S. Nury director C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL INC., 400 CAPITOL MALL, SUITE 2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Michael D Kandris director 400 CAPITAL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814
Paul Koehler officer: VP of Corporate Development C/O TOWERSTREAM CORPORATION, 55 HAMMARLUND WAY, MIDDLETOWN RI 02842
Larry D Layne director C/O PACIFIC ETHANOL, INC., 400 CAPITOL MALL, #2060, SACRAMENTO CA 95814