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Arcadium Lithium (Arcadium Lithium) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.14 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is Arcadium Lithium Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-04), Arcadium Lithium's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.14. The stock price of Arcadium Lithium is $4.68. Therefore, Arcadium Lithium's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arcadium Lithium's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALTM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.19   Med: 4.7   Max: 5.56
Current: 2.19

During the past 7 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Arcadium Lithium was 5.56. The lowest was 2.19. And the median was 4.70.

ALTM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.47% of 1072 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.25 vs ALTM: 2.19

Arcadium Lithium Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arcadium Lithium's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arcadium Lithium Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Arcadium Lithium Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -

Arcadium Lithium Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 1.92 2.05 2.14

Competitive Comparison of Arcadium Lithium's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Arcadium Lithium's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arcadium Lithium's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Arcadium Lithium's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arcadium Lithium's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Arcadium Lithium Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Arcadium Lithium's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-30.53.

Arcadium Lithium's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.336311950585*-30.528+1740.6*0.8)/503.576
=2.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Arcadium Lithium  (NYSE:ALTM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Arcadium Lithium's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.68/2.1385710772009
=2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Arcadium Lithium Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Arcadium Lithium's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Arcadium Lithium (Arcadium Lithium) Business Description

Address
1818 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19103
Arcadium Lithium is a pure-play lithium producer that was formed in the Allkem-Livent merger in January 2024. Arcadium should benefit from increased lithium demand via higher electric vehicle adoption, as lithium is a key component of EV batteries. The company's low-cost lithium carbonate production comes from two brine resources in Argentina. Arcadium also produces spodumene, a hard rock lithium upstream concentrate, from a mine in Australia and operates downstream lithium hydroxide conversion plants in the United States and China.
Executives
Gilberto Antoniazzi officer: Vice President and CFO LIVENT CORPORATION, C/O FMC CORPORATION, 2929 WALNUT STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Paul W Graves director, officer: President and CEO 1735 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Christina Lampe-onnerud director C/O FUELCELL ENERGY, INC., 3 GREAT PASTURE ROAD, DANBURY CT 06810
Pablo Marcet director C/O GEO LOGIC SA, PASCUAL, FICHERA Y, ASOC., CERRITO 1070, PISO 8, BUENOS AIRES C1 1010
Ronald B Stark officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O NRG ENERGY, INC., 211 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Nicholas Pfeiffer officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1735 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
G Peter Daloia director
Steven T Merkt director 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE, BERWYN PA 19312
Michael F Barry director ONE QUAKER PARK, 901 HECTOR ST, CONSHOHOCHEN PA 19428
Pierre R Brondeau director ROHAM AND HAAS CO, 100 INDEPENDENCE MALL WEST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19106
Robert C Pallash director 17000 ROTUNDA DRIVE, DEARBORN MI 48120
Andrea E Utecht director 1735 MARKET ST, 15TH FL, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Fmc Corp 10 percent owner 2929 WALNUT STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Sara Ponessa officer: VP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O LIVENT CORP., 1818 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Thomas Schneberger officer: Vice President and COO C/O FMC CORP, 2929 WALNUT STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104