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Align Technology (Align Technology) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $134.50 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Align Technology Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-05), Align Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $134.50. The stock price of Align Technology is $287.87. Therefore, Align Technology's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Align Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALGN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.71   Med: 2.79   Max: 8.38
Current: 2.14

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Align Technology was 8.38. The lowest was 1.71. And the median was 2.79.

ALGN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
59.89% of 349 companies
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry
Industry Median: 1.7 vs ALGN: 2.14

Align Technology Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Align Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Align Technology Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Align Technology Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 67.61 95.29 116.70 122.56 137.70

Align Technology Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 124.40 133.10 139.94 137.70 134.50

Competitive Comparison of Align Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Align Technology's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Align Technology's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Align Technology's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Align Technology's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Align Technology Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Align Technology's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $499.39.

Align Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.26395753773*499.39072+3759.86*0.8)/75.322
=134.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Align Technology  (NAS:ALGN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Align Technology's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=287.87/134.5048727439
=2.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Align Technology Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Align Technology's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Align Technology (Align Technology) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
410 North Scottsdale Road, Suite 1300, Tempe, AZ, USA, 85281
Align Technology is the leading manufacturer of clear aligners. Invisalign, its main product, was approved by the FDA in 1998, and it has since dominated, controlling over 90% of the market. Invisalign can treat roughly 90% of all malocclusion cases (misaligned teeth), and there are over 230,000 Invisalign-trained dentists and orthodontists. In 2022, Invisalign treated over 2 million cases, or roughly 10% of all orthodontic cases for the year, and it has treated over 14 million patients since its launch. Align also sells intraoral scanners under the brand iTero, which captures digital impressions of patients' teeth and illustrates treatment plans. Over 85% of Invisalign cases are submitted by digital scans and iTero scans make up over half of these scans.
Executives
Joseph M Hogan director, officer: President and CEO C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 410 NORTH SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 1300, TEMPE AZ 85281
Kevin J Dallas director C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2560 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
John Morici officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 94131
Anne Myong director 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95141
Warren S Thaler director C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 410 NORTH SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 1300, TEMPE AZ 85281
Larkin C Raymond Jr director C/O MALLINCKRODT INC, 7733 FORSYTH BLVD, ST LOUIS MO 63105
Julie Ann Coletti officer: SVP, Chief Legal & Regulatory 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Greg J Santora director 4201 GRANT COURT, PLEASANTON CA 94566
Stuart A Hockridge officer: VP, Global Human Resources C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Emory Wright officer: VP, Operations C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
George J Morrow director AMGEN INC., ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
Andrea Lynn Saia director C/O COCA-COLA ENTERPRISES, INC., 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY, NW, 14TH FLOOR, ATLANTA GA 30339
Thomas M Prescott director C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC, 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Yuval Shaked officer: SVP and Mgng Director, Itero C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jennifer Olson officer: VP& Mng Dir. D-DCC C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 94131

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