Change Healthcare (Change Healthcare) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)

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What is Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Change Healthcare's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Change Healthcare's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Change Healthcare is N/A%.

The industry rank for Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CHNG's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.98
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Change Healthcare Annual Data

Trend

Mar17

Mar18

Mar19

Mar20

Mar21

Mar22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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Change Healthcare Quarterly Data
	Dec17	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial														-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Change Healthcare's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Change Healthcare's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 255.10%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Change Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.000

31.2501

0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(0	-	27.49)	/	0
	=	N/A %

Change Healthcare (NAS:CHNG) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Change Healthcare Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Change Healthcare (Change Healthcare) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Change Healthcare Inc (NAS:CHNG) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

424 Church Street, Suite 1400, Nashville, TN, USA, 37219

Website

https://www.changehealthcare.com

Change Healthcare is a spinoff of various healthcare processing and consulting services acquired by McKesson over numerous years. Recently, these processing assets were contributed to a joint venture and in June 2019 public shares were issued with McKesson retaining the majority interest. As of the end of the March 2020 quarter, McKesson distributed all its interest in the public processor. Core services consist of insurance (healthcare) claim clearinghouse for healthcare payers in addition to administrative and consulting services to assist healthcare providers improve reimbursement coding, billing, and collections.

Executives

Tracy Byers	officer: SVP and GM, Enterprise Imaging	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 424 CHURCH STREET, SUITE 1400 NASHVILLE TN 37219
Steven B. Martin	officer: EVP, Enterprise Technology	3055 LEBANON PIKE SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Nella Domenici	director	C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Paul Rareshide	officer: SVP, Corporate Controller	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Fredrik J Eliasson	officer: EVP & CFO	500 WATER STREET, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
De Crescenzo Neil E.	director, officer: President & CEO	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Diana Mckenzie	director	METLIFE, 200 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10166
Roderick H. O'reilly	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC., 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000, NASHVILLE TN 37214
August Calhoun	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Thomas Mcenery	officer: EVP & Chief Marketing Officer
Bansi Nagji	director	MCKESSON CORPORATION, 6555 STATE HIGHWAY 161, IRVING TX 75039
Alex P. Choy	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214
Linda Whitley-taylor	officer: EVP & Chief People Officer	C/O BENSON HILL, INC., 1001 NORTH WARSON ROAD, SAINT LOUIS MO 63132
Phillip W. Roe	director	20 BURTON HILLS BOULEVARD SUITE 100 NASHVILLE TN 37215
Kriten Joshi	officer: See Remarks	C/O CHANGE HEALTHCARE INC. 3055 LEBANON PIKE, SUITE 1000 NASHVILLE TN 37214