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Regional Management (Regional Management) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $35.87 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Regional Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-11), Regional Management's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $35.87.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Regional Management's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Regional Management is 16.36%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Regional Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

RM' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.42   Max: 0.9
Current: 0.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Regional Management was 0.90. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.42.

RM's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
66.67% of 69 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 0.63 vs RM: 0.84

Regional Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Regional Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Regional Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Regional Management Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 43.20 198.85 123.47 27.84

Regional Management Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 83.81 70.14 61.04 27.84 35.87

Competitive Comparison of Regional Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Regional Management's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Regional Management's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Regional Management's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Regional Management's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Regional Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 9.60%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Regional Management's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 9.60%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 9.60%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $2.300.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Regional Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.096)/(1+0.11) = 0.98738738738739
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.300*15.596
=35.87

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(35.87-30.00)/35.87
=16.36 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Regional Management  (NYSE:RM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Regional Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Regional Management (Regional Management) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
979 Batesville Road, Suite B, Greer, SC, USA, 29651
Regional Management Corp is a diversified consumer finance company that provides installment loan products to customers with limited access to consumer credit from banks, thrifts, credit card companies, and other lenders. It is engaged in consumer finance. The company has the core products which are small and large installment loans. The company also offers optional payment and collateral protection insurance. The company's principal source of revenue is interest and fee income on outstanding loans.
Executives
Roel C Campos director 509 WEST BUTLER ROAD, GREENVILLE SC 29607
John D. Schachtel officer: EVP and COO 979 BATESVILLE ROAD, SUITE B, GREER SC 29651
Basswood Financial Fund, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Capital Management, L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Financial Fund, Inc. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 3RD FL., HARBOUR CENTRE, P.O. BOX 61, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-1102
Robert William Beck officer: EVP and CFO 979 BATESVILLE ROAD, SUITE B, GREER SC 29651
Sandra K. Johnson director 979 BATESVILLE ROAD, SUITE B, GREER SC 29651
Matthew A Lindenbaum director, 10 percent owner 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Opportunity Fund Inc director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVE, 10TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Basswood Financial Long Only Fund, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FL., NEW YORK NY 10022
Jonathan David Brown director C/O BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Partners, L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Bennett D Lindenbaum director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization 645 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Basswood Opportunity Partners, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: Director-by-Deputization BASSWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC, 645 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Philip V Bancroft director

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