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Prairie Operating Co (Prairie Operating Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-102.25 (As of May. 20, 2024)


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What is Prairie Operating Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-20), Prairie Operating Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-102.25.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Prairie Operating Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Prairie Operating Co is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Prairie Operating Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

PROP's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 1.145
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Prairie Operating Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Prairie Operating Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Prairie Operating Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Prairie Operating Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Prairie Operating Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Prairie Operating Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Prairie Operating Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Prairie Operating Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Prairie Operating Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Prairie Operating Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Prairie Operating Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.42%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Prairie Operating Co's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 36.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-3.272.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Prairie Operating Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-3.272*31.2501
=-102.25

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-102.25-12.86)/-102.25
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Prairie Operating Co  (NAS:PROP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Prairie Operating Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Prairie Operating Co (Prairie Operating Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8636 N. Classen Boulevard, Suite 110-502, Oklahoma, OK, USA, 73114
Prairie Operating Co develops and operates bitcoin mining scaled-up facilities using natural gas to power the operations. It generates substantially all its revenue through cryptocurrency, which it earns through mining activities.
Executives
James W. Wallis 10 percent owner 6410 NORTH SANTA FE AVE., STE B, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73116
Daniel T. Sweeney officer: General Counsel & Corp. Sec'y 8636 N. CLASSEN BOULEVARD, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73114
Jonathan H. Gray director 657 PERUGIA WAY, LOS ANGELES CA 90077
Erik Thoresen director C/O FUSION ACQUISITION CORP. II, 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10065
Robert Craig Owen officer: Chief Financial Officer 2350 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY EAST, SUITE 125, HOUSTON TX 77032
Stephen Lee director 3326 MID LANE, HOUSTON TX 77027
Jeremy Landon Ham officer: Chief Commercial Officer 12115 DOUBLE TREE DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77070
Michael Martin Breen director LOWSLEY HOUSE 133 HEADLEY ROAD, LIPHOOK X0 GU30 7PU
Paul Kessler director, 10 percent owner 555 MARIN STREET, SUITE 140, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91360
Bryan Freeman officer: Exec VP of Operations 16200 PARK ROW, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77084
Gary C Hanna director, officer: President
Gizman I Abbas director 415 WASHINGTON STREET, APT 1B, NEW YORK NY 10013
Edward Kovalik director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1 GRAND ARMY PLAZA, 11 GG, BROOKLYN NY 11238
Scott D Kaufman director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO and President MIDUSMMER INVESTMENT LTD, 485 MADISON AVENUE 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Alan Louis Urban officer: Chief Financial Officer 1524 CLOVERFIELD BOULEVARD, SUITE E, SANTA MONICA CA 90404