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ARS Pharmaceuticals (ARS Pharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is ARS Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-06-03), ARS Pharmaceuticals's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

ARS Pharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for ARS Pharmaceuticals is

The historical rank and industry rank for ARS Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SPRY's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.16
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

ARS Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for ARS Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ARS Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

ARS Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
- - - -

ARS Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of ARS Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, ARS Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ARS Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, ARS Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ARS Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



ARS Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.41%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

ARS Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 8.98) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ARS Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:SPRY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


ARS Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ARS Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ARS Pharmaceuticals (ARS Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11682 El Camino Real, Suite 120, San Diego, CA, USA, 92130
ARS Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, potentially first-in-class product candidate, neffy (previously referred to as ARS-1) for the emergency treatment of Type I allergic reactions, including anaphylaxis. neffy is a proprietary composition of epinephrine with an absorption enhancer called Intravail, which allows neffy to provide injection-like absorption of epinephrine at a low dose, in a small, easy-to-carry, easy-to-use, rapidly administered and reliable nasal spray.
Executives
Alexander A Fitzpatrick officer: Chief Legal Officer 9605 SCRANTON ROAD, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Ra Capital Healthcare Fund Lp director 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Laura Shawver director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1255 CRESCENT GREEN DRIVE, SUITE 250, CARY NC 27518
Orbimed Advisors Llc director 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Orbimed Capital Gp Vi Llc director 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Orbimed Capital Llc director 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Peter A. Thompson director C/O ANTHERA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 25801 INDUSTRIAL BOULEVARD, SUITE B, HAYWARD CA 94545
Brian Dorsey officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SOMAXON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10935 VISTA SORRENTO PARKWAY, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Kathleen D. Scott officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O CONATUS PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 16745 WEST BERNARDO DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Pratik Shah director, 10 percent owner 3366 N. TORREY PINES COURT, SUITE 220, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Jonathan S Leff director C/O DEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P, 780 THIRD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Deerfield Private Design Fund Iv, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: * Director by deputization 780 THIRD AVENUE 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Deerfield Mgmt Iv, L.p. director, 10 percent owner, other: * Director by deputization 780 THIRD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Ra Capital Nexus Fund Ii, L.p. director 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Brent L Saunders director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, C/O SCHERING PLOUGH CORP, KENILWORTH NJ 07033

ARS Pharmaceuticals (ARS Pharmaceuticals) Headlines

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