Hillman Solutions (Hillman Solutions) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 16, 2024)

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What is Hillman Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-16), Hillman Solutions's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Hillman Solutions's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Hillman Solutions is

The historical rank and industry rank for Hillman Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HLMN's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 1.19
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Hillman Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hillman Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hillman Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Hillman Solutions Annual Data

Trend

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Hillman Solutions Quarterly Data
	Dec19	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial												-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Hillman Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Hillman Solutions's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Hillman Solutions's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Hillman Solutions's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hillman Solutions's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Hillman Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.38%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Hillman Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(	-	9.54)	/

Hillman Solutions (NAS:HLMN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Hillman Solutions Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hillman Solutions's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Hillman Solutions (Hillman Solutions) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Hillman Solutions Corp (NAS:HLMN) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1280 Kemper Meadow Drive, Forest Park, OH, USA, 45240

Website

https://www.hillmangroup.com

Hillman Solutions Corp is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, and other retail outlets. Its product lines include thousands of small parts such as fasteners and related hardware items; threaded rod and metal shapes; keys and accessories; builder's hardware; personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eye-wear; and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs. The segments of the group are Hardware and Protective Solutions, which is the key revenue-generating segment; Robotics and Digital Solutions; and Canada. It has a business presence in the US, Canada and Mexico.

Executives

Diane Honda	director	C/O BARRACUDA NETWORKS, INC., 3175 S. WINCHESTER BLVD., CAMPBELL CA 95008
Ccmp Capital, Lp	10 percent owner	245 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Aaron Jerrod Parker	officer: VP - Human Resources	1280 KEMPER MEADOW DR., FOREST PARK OH 45240
Robert O. Kraft	officer: CFO and Treasurer	ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Douglas Cahill	director, officer: COB, President and CEO	1040 CHANCERY LANE, NASHVILLED TN 37215
Scott Kelley Moore	officer: Chief Technology Officer	10590 HAMILTON AVE., CINCINNATI OH 45231
Leary Dan O	director	10590 HAMILTON AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45231-0012
Ccmp Co-invest Iii A Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LP, 277 PARK AVENUE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10172
Ccmp Capital Investors Iii (employee), L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC, 245 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Ccmp Capital Investors Iii, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC, 245 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Ccmp Capital Associates Iii Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LP, 277 PARK AVENUE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10172
Ccmp Capital Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	1 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Ccmp Capital Associates Iii, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LP, 277 PARK AVENUE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10172
Ccmp Co-invest Iii A, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC, 245 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Jarrod Streng	officer: See Remarks	10590 HAMILTON AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45231-0012