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DCT Industrial Trust (DCT Industrial Trust) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $13.19 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is DCT Industrial Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), DCT Industrial Trust's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $13.19.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

DCT Industrial Trust's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for DCT Industrial Trust is -224.34%.

The historical rank and industry rank for DCT Industrial Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DCT's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 1.975
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

DCT Industrial Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DCT Industrial Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DCT Industrial Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

DCT Industrial Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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DCT Industrial Trust Quarterly Data
Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of DCT Industrial Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, DCT Industrial Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DCT Industrial Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, DCT Industrial Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DCT Industrial Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



DCT Industrial Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> DCT Industrial Trust's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.143.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

DCT Industrial Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.143*11.5406
=13.19

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (13.19 - 42.78) / 13.19
= -224.34 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DCT Industrial Trust  (NYSE:DCT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


DCT Industrial Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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DCT Industrial Trust (DCT Industrial Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » DCT Industrial Trust Inc (NYSE:DCT) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
DCT Industrial Trust Inc is a real estate investment trust engaged in the acquiring, leasing, and managing of large distribution and light industrial warehouses near large U.S. urban markets. The company segments its operations into East, Central, and West divisions. DCT's property portfolio is fairly evenly distributed amongst its three regional units both in terms of total square footage and the percent of total revenue derived from each. The largest cities in each region play host to the most buildings. The company generates nearly all of its revenue in the form of rental revenue from its fairly diversified base of tenants. Manufacturing, transportation and warehousing, and wholesale trade companies account for most of DCT's revenue and total occupied square feet.
Executives
Philip L Hawkins director, officer: President and CEO C/O CORPORATE OFFICE PROPERTIES TRUST, 6711 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DRIVE, #300, COLUMBIA MD 21046
Marcus L. Smith director 555 17TH STREET, SUITE 3700, DCT INDUSTRIAL TRUST INC., DENVER CO 80202
Mark Skomal officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O CYRUSONE INC. 2850 N HARWOOD ST STE 2200 DALLAS TX 75201
Raymond B Greer director 1515 WEST 20TH STREET, P.O. BOX 612787, DFW INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT TX 75261
Thomas F August director 6214 PARK LANE, DALLAS TX 75225
Marilyn A Alexander director 565 DUNNEGAN DRIVE, LAGUNA BEACH CA 92651
Thomas G Wattles director, officer: Chairman ONE INDEPENDENT DRIVE, SUITE 114, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Stuart B Brown officer: Chief Financial Officer 518 17TH STREET, SUITE 1700, DENVER CO 80202