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Key Tronic (Key Tronic) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-5.14 (As of Mar24)


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What is Key Tronic Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Key Tronic's earnings power value is $-5.14. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Key Tronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Key Tronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Key Tronic Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.07 -1.37 -3.25 -3.30 -6.18

Key Tronic Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.28 -6.18 -5.19 -4.92 -5.14

Competitive Comparison of Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Key Tronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Key Tronic's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 525.5
DDA 7.9
Operating Margin % 1.68
SGA * 25% 5.9
Tax Rate % 2.54
Maintenance Capex 7.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5.3
Short-Term Debt 5.9
Long-Term Debt 133.5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 10.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.68%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $525.5 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.68%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 525.5 * 1.68% +5.9 = $14.694725848 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 2.54%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $14.694725848 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 14.694725848 * ( 1 - 2.54% ) = $14.321406337832 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 7.9 * 0.5 * 2.54% = $0.100542828 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 14.321406337832 + 0.100542828 = $14.421949165832 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Key Tronic's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $7.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Key Tronic's current cash and cash equivalent = $5.3 Mil.
Key Tronic's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 133.5 + 5.9 = $139.472 Mil.
Key Tronic's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 10.8 Mil.

Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 14.421949165832 - 7.3)/ 9%+5.3-139.472 )/10.8
=-5.14

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -5.1394627538958-4.24 )/-5.1394627538958
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Key Tronic  (NAS:KTCC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Key Tronic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Key Tronic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Key Tronic (Key Tronic) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4424 North Sullivan Road, Spokane Valley, WA, USA, 99216
Key Tronic Corp is an electronic manufacturing service provider. The company provides electronic manufacturing services to original equipment manufacturers in the United States and globally. Its primary services include integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, precision plastic molding, sheet metal fabrication, printed circuit board (PCB) and complete product assembly, component selection, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing and production. The firm derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Mark R Courtney officer: Vice President of Supply Chain 4424 N. SULLIVAN ROAD, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99216
Subodh K Kulkarni director 5900 GOLDEN HILLS DRIVE, GOLDEN VALLEY MN 55416
Thomas E. Despres officer: VP of Southwest Operations 4424 N. SULLIVAN ROAD, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99216
Chad Thomas Orebaugh officer: Vice President of Engineering 4424 N. SULLIVAN ROAD, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99216
David H. Knaggs officer: Vice President of Quality 4424 N. SULLIVAN ROAD, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99216
Frank Iii Crispigna officer: VP of Supply Chain P.O. BOX 14687, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99214-0687
Duane D Mackleit officer: VP of Program Management P.O. BOX 14687, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99214-0687
James R Bean director 2227 E. SKIPPERLING LN, BOISE ID 83706
Craig D Gates director, officer: President & CEO
Douglas G Burkhardt officer: EVP of Worldwide Operations P.O. BOX 14687, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99214-0687
Ronald F Klawitter director, officer: See Remarks
Kathleen L Nemeth officer: Secretary and General Counsel KEY TRONIC CORP, PO BOX 14687, SPOKANE WA 99214-0687
Lawrence J Bostwick officer: VP of Quality & Reg Affairs P.O. BOX 14687, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99214-0687
Brett R. Larsen officer: VP of Finance & Controller P.O. BOX 14687, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99216
Philip Scott Hochberg officer: EVP of Business Development P.O. BOX 14687, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99214-0687