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Dril-Quip (Dril-Quip) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $4.60 (As of Mar24)


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What is Dril-Quip Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Dril-Quip's earnings power value is $4.60. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -318.37

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Dril-Quip Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dril-Quip Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Dril-Quip Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.56 12.87 4.62 5.92 4.72

Dril-Quip Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.66 6.06 4.18 4.72 4.60

Competitive Comparison of Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Dril-Quip Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Dril-Quip's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 380.8
DDA 31.3
Operating Margin % -4.50
SGA * 25% 25.5
Tax Rate % 48.08
Maintenance Capex 14.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 202.2
Short-Term Debt 2.3
Long-Term Debt 14.5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 34.4

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -4.50%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $380.8 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -4.50%, Average Adjusted SGA = 25.5,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 380.8 * -4.50% +25.5 = $8.38332352 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 48.08%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $8.38332352 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 8.38332352 * ( 1 - 48.08% ) = $4.3523700718784 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 31.3 * 0.5 * 48.08% = $7.530326713 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 4.3523700718784 + 7.530326713 = $11.882696784878 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Dril-Quip's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $14.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Dril-Quip's current cash and cash equivalent = $202.2 Mil.
Dril-Quip's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 14.5 + 2.3 = $16.841 Mil.
Dril-Quip's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 34.4 Mil.

Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 11.882696784878 - 14.3)/ 9%+202.2-16.841 )/34.4
=4.60

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 4.5964613046132-19.23 )/4.5964613046132
= -318.37%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Dril-Quip  (NYSE:DRQ) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Dril-Quip Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dril-Quip's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dril-Quip (Dril-Quip) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2050 West Sam Houston Parkway S., Suite 1100, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Dril-Quip Inc. designs, manufactures, sells and services engineered drilling and production equipment for both offshore and onshore applications. The Company's revenues are generated from three sources, Product revenues are derived from the sale of drilling and production equipment. Service revenues are earned when the Company provides technical advisory assistance and rework and reconditioning services. Leasing revenues are derived from rental tools used during the installation and retrieval of the Company's products. The Company's operations are organized into three geographic segments, Western Hemisphere (including North and South America), Eastern Hemisphere (including Europe and Africa) and Asia-Pacific (including the Pacific Rim, Southeast Asia, Australia, India and the Middle East).
Executives
Terence Bartlett Jupp director 6401 N. ELDRIDGE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77041
James C. Webster officer: VP - Gen Counsel & Secretary 13550 HEMPSTEAD HIGHWAY, HOUSTON TX 77040
Jeffrey J. Bird officer: Vice President and CFO 10260 WESTHEIMER RD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Kyle Mcclure officer: Vice President and CFO 10260 WESTHEIMER RD, SUITE 700, HOUSTON TX 77042
Donald M Underwood officer: VP - Subsea Products 6401 NORTH ELDRIDGE PKWY, HOUSTON TX 77041
Carri A. Lockhart director 6401 NORTH ELDRIDGE PKWY, HOUSTON TX 77041
A P Shukis director C/O CORPORATE STRATEGIES INC, 1170 ST JAMES PLACE SUITE 115, HOUSTON TX 77056
Blake T. Deberry director, officer: President and CEO 13550 HEMPSTEAD HIGHWAY, HOUSTON TX 77040
Raj Kumar officer: VP-Finance & Chief Acct. Off. 6401 N. ELDRIDGE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77041
Darryl Keith Willis director 2001 KIRBY DRIVE, SUITE 200, HOUSTON TX 77019
John Lovoi director 3505 W SAM HOUSTON PKWY NORTH, SUITE 400, HOUSTON TX 77043
Amy B Schwetz director 701 MARKET STREET, ST. LOUIS MO 63101
James A. Gariepy officer: SR V.P. and COO 13550 HEMPSTEAD HIGHWAY, HOUSTON TX 77040
Jerry M Brooks officer: Chief Financial Officer
Robertson L H Dick director 39 LAKESIDE DRIVE, STAR HARBOR, MALAKOFF TX 75148