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Cheer Holding (Cheer Holding) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $75.87 (As of Dec23)


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What is Cheer Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Cheer Holding's earnings power value is $75.87. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 96.38

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Cheer Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cheer Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cheer Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Cheer Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 58.95 65.71 75.87

Cheer Holding Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 58.95 - 65.71 - 75.87

Competitive Comparison of Cheer Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Cheer Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cheer Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Cheer Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cheer Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Cheer Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Cheer Holding's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 130.4
DDA 2.8
Operating Margin % 25.11
SGA * 25% 15.6
Tax Rate % 1.69
Maintenance Capex 5.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents 194.2
Short-Term Debt 4.5
Long-Term Debt 1.4
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 8.6

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 25.11%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $130.4 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 25.11%, Average Adjusted SGA = 15.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 130.4 * 25.11% +15.6 = $48.307322928 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 1.69%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $48.307322928 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 48.307322928 * ( 1 - 1.69% ) = $47.490929170517 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.8 * 0.5 * 1.69% = $0.02373267 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 47.490929170517 + 0.02373267 = $47.514661840517 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Cheer Holding's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $5.5 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Cheer Holding's current cash and cash equivalent = $194.2 Mil.
Cheer Holding's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1.4 + 4.5 = $5.954 Mil.
Cheer Holding's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 8.6 Mil.

Cheer Holding's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 47.514661840517 - 5.5)/ 9%+194.2-5.954 )/8.6
=75.87

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 75.873571352058-2.7499 )/75.873571352058
= 96.38%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Cheer Holding  (NAS:CHR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Cheer Holding Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Cheer Holding (Cheer Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 8 Tuofangying South Road, 22nd Floor, Block B, Xinhua Technology Building, Jiuxianqiao, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100016
Cheer Holding Inc is a provider of next generation mobile internet infrastructure and platform services in China. It is engaged in building a digital ecosystem that integrates platforms, applications, technology, and industry into a cohesive system, thereby creating a new, open business environment that leverages AI technology. Its portfolio includes various products and services, such as Polaris Intelligent Cloud, CHEERS Telepathy, CHEERS Open Platform, CHEERS Video, CHEERS e-Mall, CheerReal, CheerCar, CheerChat, CHEERS Fresh Group-Buying E-commerce Platform, Digital Innovation Research Institute, CHEERS Livestreaming, variety show series, IP short video matrix, and more.
Executives
Jia Lu director, 10 percent owner 22F, BLOCK B, XINHUA TECHNOLOGY TOWER, TUOFANGYING SOUTH ROAD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100022
Ran Zhang director 22F, BLOCK B, XINHUA TECHNOLOGY TOWER, TUOFANGYING SOUTH ROAD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100022
Bing Zhang director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 22F, BLOCK B, XINHUA TECH TOWER, TUOFANGYING SOUTH ROAD, JIUXIAMQIAO, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100022
Shu Ming Leung director 22/F, BLOCK B, XINHUA TECHNOLOGY, NO. 8 TUOFANGYING ROAD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100022
Yong Li director 22/F, BLOCK B, XINHUA TECHNOLOGY, NO. 8 TUOFANGYING ROAD, CHAOYING DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100022
Giant Fortune International Ltd 10 percent owner 510 KINGS ROAD, 10TH ISLAND PLACE TOWER, HONG KONG F4 999077
Sing Wang director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO SUITE 1003-1004, 10/F, ICBC TOWER, THREE GARDEN ROAD, CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 00000
Ian Lee director, officer: CFO UNIT 1631 LEVEL 16 MAN YEE BLDG, 60-68 DES VOEUX ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 518000
Ng Joanne Sin Ting officer: Sr Dir of Business Development UNIT 1631 LEVEL 16 MAN YEE BLDG, 60-68 DES VOEUX ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 518000
Symphony Sponsor 1 Tkk 10 percent owner UNIT 1631, LEVEL 16, MAN YEE BUILDING, 6068 DES VOEUX ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 518000
Stephen Markscheid director C/O ENER-CORE, INC., 9400 TOLEDO WAY, IRVINE CA 92618
Zhe Zhang director UNIT 1631 LEVEL 16 MAN YEE BLDG, 60-68 DES VOEUX RD CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 518000
James Heimowitz director UNIT 1631 LEVEL 16 MAN YEE BLDG, 60-68 VOEUX ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 518000
Ronald Issen officer: Chief Investment Officer UNIT 1631 LEVEL 16 MAN YEE BLDG, 60-68 DES VOEUX ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 518000