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Shell (WBO:RDSA) E10 : €0.88 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Shell E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Shell's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €1.040. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is €0.88 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Shell's average E10 Growth Rate was 6.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 4.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -4.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -7.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Shell was 4.50% per year. The lowest was -16.20% per year. And the median was -9.30% per year.

As of today (2024-05-14), Shell's current stock price is €14.69. Shell's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.88. Shell's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 16.69.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Shell was 19.51. The lowest was 5.62. And the median was 11.18.


Shell E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shell's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shell E10 Chart

Shell Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.18 1.54 1.12 0.93 0.89

Shell Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.95 0.97 0.89 0.89 0.88

Competitive Comparison of Shell's E10

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Shell's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shell's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Shell's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shell's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Shell E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Shell's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=1.04/130.0000*130.0000
=1.040

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 130.0000.

Shell Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 0.618 99.800 0.805
201409 0.543 100.000 0.706
201412 0.073 99.900 0.095
201503 0.638 99.600 0.833
201506 0.552 100.100 0.717
201509 -1.042 100.200 -1.352
201512 0.138 100.400 0.179
201603 0.063 100.400 0.082
201606 0.134 101.000 0.172
201609 0.151 101.500 0.193
201612 0.180 102.200 0.229
201703 0.402 102.700 0.509
201706 0.169 103.500 0.212
201709 0.420 104.300 0.523
201712 0.389 105.000 0.482
201803 0.568 105.100 0.703
201806 0.616 105.900 0.756
201809 0.600 106.600 0.732
201812 0.589 107.100 0.715
201903 0.646 107.000 0.785
201906 0.327 107.900 0.394
201909 0.663 108.400 0.795
201912 0.108 108.500 0.129
202003 -0.003 108.600 -0.004
202006 -2.069 108.800 -2.472
202009 0.051 109.200 0.061
202012 -0.427 109.400 -0.507
202103 0.605 109.700 0.717
202106 0.365 111.400 0.426
202109 -0.051 112.400 -0.059
202112 1.310 114.700 1.485
202203 0.844 116.500 0.942
202206 2.270 120.500 2.449
202209 0.929 122.300 0.987
202212 1.378 125.300 1.430
202303 1.167 126.800 1.196
202306 0.425 129.400 0.427
202309 0.984 130.100 0.983
202312 0.064 130.000 0.064
202403 1.040 130.000 1.040

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Shell  (WBO:RDSA) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Shell's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=14.69/0.88
=16.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Shell was 19.51. The lowest was 5.62. And the median was 11.18.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Shell E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Shell's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Shell (WBO:RDSA) Business Description

Address
Shell Centre, London, GBR, SE1 7NA
Shell is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil around the world. In 2022, it produced 1.5 million barrels of liquids and 7.9 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At year-end 2022, reserves stood at 9.4 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 50% of which consisted of liquids. Its production and reserves are in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, and North and South America. The company operates refineries with capacity of 1.7 mmb/d located in the Americas, Asia, Africa, and Europe and sells 12 million tons per year of chemicals. Its largest chemical plants, often integrated with its local refineries, are in Central Europe, China, Singapore, and North America.

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