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Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) E10 : ARS1,475.63 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Harley-Davidson E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was ARS4,347.300. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is ARS1,475.63 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Harley-Davidson's average E10 Growth Rate was 3.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 7.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 3.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Harley-Davidson was 26.30% per year. The lowest was -1.60% per year. And the median was 7.50% per year.

As of today (2024-06-06), Harley-Davidson's current stock price is ARS14409.50. Harley-Davidson's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was ARS1,475.63. Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 9.76.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 24.81. The lowest was 4.71. And the median was 14.34.


Harley-Davidson E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harley-Davidson E10 Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.88 170.03 234.09 429.40 1,305.85

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 534.86 680.25 1,114.66 1,305.85 1,475.63

Competitive Comparison of Harley-Davidson's E10

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Harley-Davidson E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=4347.3/131.7762*131.7762
=4,347.300

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 39.487 100.560 51.745
201409 17.427 100.428 22.867
201412 8.979 99.070 11.943
201503 33.603 99.621 44.449
201506 39.254 100.684 51.376
201509 19.463 100.392 25.548
201512 8.542 99.792 11.280
201603 59.584 100.470 78.150
201606 65.006 101.688 84.240
201609 28.640 101.861 37.051
201612 12.841 101.863 16.612
201703 48.564 102.862 62.215
201706 73.207 103.349 93.343
201709 21.028 104.136 26.609
201712 2.864 104.011 3.629
201803 62.260 105.290 77.922
201806 108.489 106.317 134.469
201809 75.070 106.507 92.881
201812 0.343 105.998 0.426
201903 93.816 107.251 115.270
201906 164.866 108.070 201.032
201909 92.278 108.329 112.251
201912 16.139 108.420 19.616
202003 83.794 108.902 101.395
202006 -123.228 108.767 -149.296
202009 173.722 109.815 208.464
202012 -153.808 109.897 -184.430
202103 454.003 111.754 535.342
202106 377.973 114.631 434.504
202109 308.007 115.734 350.700
202112 42.416 117.630 47.517
202203 467.068 121.301 507.403
202206 527.045 125.017 555.541
202209 741.993 125.227 780.801
202212 140.826 125.222 148.197
202303 1,209.006 127.348 1,251.048
202306 878.400 128.729 899.195
202309 1,448.793 129.860 1,470.177
202312 194.940 129.419 198.490
202403 4,347.300 131.776 4,347.300

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Harley-Davidson  (BUE:HOG) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Harley-Davidson's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=14409.50/1475.63
=9.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 24.81. The lowest was 4.71. And the median was 14.34.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Harley-Davidson E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Harley-Davidson's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) Business Description

Address
3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, and has yet to restore (at 39% in the third quarter). In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.