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Fortescue (ASX:FMG) E10 : A$1.80 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Fortescue E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Fortescue's adjusted earnings per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Jun. 2023 was A$2.320. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is A$1.80 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2023.

During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 30.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 31.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 48.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Fortescue was 104.10% per year. The lowest was 15.70% per year. And the median was 35.70% per year.

As of today (2024-05-18), Fortescue's current stock price is A$ 26.94. Fortescue's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jun. 2023 was A$1.80. Fortescue's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 14.97.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Fortescue was 301.00. The lowest was 7.32. And the median was 17.74.


Fortescue E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fortescue's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fortescue E10 Chart

Fortescue Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.62 0.82 1.25 1.55 1.80

Fortescue Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.55 - 1.80 -

Competitive Comparison of Fortescue's E10

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Fortescue's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortescue's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Fortescue's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortescue's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Fortescue E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Fortescue's adjusted earnings per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Jun. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Jun. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2023)
=2.32/124.1700*124.1700
=2.320

Current CPI (Jun. 2023) = 124.1700.

Fortescue Annual Data

per_share_eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 0.938 98.352 1.184
201506 0.132 99.838 0.164
201606 0.427 100.859 0.526
201706 0.886 102.809 1.070
201806 0.375 104.945 0.444
201906 1.482 106.617 1.726
202006 2.220 106.246 2.595
202106 4.360 110.332 4.907
202206 2.860 117.112 3.032
202306 2.320 124.170 2.320

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Fortescue  (ASX:FMG) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Fortescue's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=26.94/1.8
=14.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Fortescue was 301.00. The lowest was 7.32. And the median was 17.74.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Fortescue E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fortescue's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fortescue (ASX:FMG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
87 Adelaide Terrace, Level 2, East Perth, Perth, WA, AUS, 6004
Fortescue is an Australia-based iron ore miner. It has grown from obscurity start of 2008 to become the world's fourth-largest producer. Growth was fueled by debt, now repaid. Expansion from 55 million metric tons in fiscal 2012 to about 190 million metric tons in 2023 means Fortescue supplies nearly 10% of global seaborne iron ore. Further expansion above 200 million metric tons is likely once it completes construction of its 22 million metric tons Iron Bridge magnetite mine. However, with longer-term demand likely to decline as China's economy matures, we expect Fortescue's future margins to be below historical averages. More recently, Fortescue diversified into green energy, with ambitions to become a major supplier of green hydrogen and green ammonia. Its efforts are early stage.

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