GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » United Parcel Service Inc (UKEX:UPS) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

United Parcel Service (UKEX:UPS) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 23.67 (As of May. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-27), United Parcel Service's current share price is ₴7316.00. United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴309.12. United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 23.67.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

UKEX:UPS' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 21.03   Med: 27.21   Max: 45.31
Current: 22.09

During the past years, United Parcel Service's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 45.31. The lowest was 21.03. And the median was 27.21.

UKEX:UPS's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
56.9% of 420 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 18.045 vs UKEX:UPS: 22.09

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

United Parcel Service's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴107.437. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ₴309.12 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

United Parcel Service Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.84 38.21 40.04 28.48 25.46

United Parcel Service Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.12 28.09 24.33 25.46 23.68

Competitive Comparison of United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=7316.00/309.12
=23.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, United Parcel Service's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=107.437/131.7762*131.7762
=107.437

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

United Parcel Service Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -40.275 100.560 -52.778
201409 75.564 100.428 99.151
201412 28.686 99.070 38.156
201503 105.366 99.621 139.375
201506 39.741 100.684 52.013
201509 66.349 100.392 87.091
201512 12.709 99.792 16.782
201603 101.157 100.470 132.677
201606 67.363 101.688 87.295
201609 -9.294 101.861 -12.024
201612 -0.824 101.863 -1.066
201703 -32.062 102.862 -41.074
201706 60.339 103.349 76.936
201709 4.521 104.136 5.721
201712 -206.123 104.011 -261.146
201803 117.248 105.290 146.743
201806 84.390 106.317 104.599
201809 26.925 106.507 33.313
201812 69.329 105.998 86.190
201903 35.400 107.251 43.495
201906 27.049 108.070 32.983
201909 0.510 108.329 0.620
201912 41.849 108.420 50.864
202003 75.023 108.902 90.782
202006 105.087 108.767 127.317
202009 100.888 109.815 121.064
202012 -46.915 109.897 -56.255
202103 170.156 111.754 200.641
202106 141.757 114.631 162.959
202109 110.405 115.734 125.708
202112 74.483 117.630 83.441
202203 180.355 121.301 195.930
202206 136.834 125.017 144.232
202209 73.470 125.227 77.313
202212 38.885 125.222 40.920
202303 81.476 127.348 84.309
202306 94.872 128.729 97.118
202309 44.360 129.860 45.015
202312 17.031 129.419 17.341
202403 107.437 131.776 107.437

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


United Parcel Service  (UKEX:UPS) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


United Parcel Service (UKEX:UPS) Business Description

Address
55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E. Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 25 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic U.S. package operations generate around 64% of total revenue while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding, truckload brokerage, and contract logistics make up the remainder.