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Caterpillar (UKEX:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 38.05 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-23), Caterpillar's current share price is ₴10904.00. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴286.56. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 38.05.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

UKEX:CAT' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.27   Med: 25.19   Max: 97.5
Current: 36.96

During the past years, Caterpillar's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 97.50. The lowest was 11.27. And the median was 25.19.

UKEX:CAT's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
59.38% of 96 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 26.84 vs UKEX:CAT: 36.96

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴105.799. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ₴286.56 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.43 29.29 29.63 28.56 31.34

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.45 27.95 29.98 31.34 38.04

Competitive Comparison of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=10904.00/286.56
=38.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Caterpillar's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=105.799/131.7762*131.7762
=105.799

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Caterpillar Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 90.185 100.560 118.181
201409 77.292 100.428 101.419
201412 56.542 99.070 75.209
201503 28.949 99.621 38.293
201506 94.392 100.684 123.541
201509 52.387 100.392 68.764
201512 52.265 99.792 69.016
201603 -16.993 100.470 -22.288
201606 98.343 101.688 127.441
201609 39.027 101.861 50.489
201612 63.830 101.863 82.575
201703 69.566 102.862 89.121
201706 118.556 103.349 151.166
201709 48.462 104.136 61.325
201712 -10.386 104.011 -13.158
201803 11.695 105.290 14.637
201806 91.044 106.317 112.846
201809 52.333 106.507 64.749
201812 86.374 105.998 107.380
201903 39.617 107.251 48.676
201906 133.137 108.070 162.343
201909 9.823 108.329 11.949
201912 116.133 108.420 141.151
202003 42.188 108.902 51.050
202006 69.038 108.767 83.642
202009 90.731 109.815 108.876
202012 104.982 109.897 125.883
202103 103.167 111.754 121.650
202106 110.971 114.631 127.568
202109 84.113 115.734 95.772
202112 46.094 117.630 51.637
202203 -27.161 121.301 -29.507
202206 122.514 125.017 129.138
202209 141.136 125.227 148.518
202212 155.430 125.222 163.566
202303 63.299 127.348 65.500
202306 197.181 128.729 201.849
202309 255.540 129.860 259.312
202312 247.973 129.419 252.489
202403 105.799 131.776 105.799

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Caterpillar  (UKEX:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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Caterpillar (UKEX:CAT) Business Description

Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the premier manufacturer of heavy equipment, power solutions, and locomotives. It is currently the world's largest manufacturer of heavy equipment with over 13% market share in 2021. The company is divided into four reportable segments: construction industries, resource industries, energy and transportation, and Caterpillar Financial Services. Its products are available through a dealer network that covers the globe with about 2,700 branches maintained by 160 dealers. Caterpillar Financial Services provides retail financing for machinery and engines to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Caterpillar product sales.