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ConocoPhillips (MIL:1COP) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 28.86 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-23), ConocoPhillips's current share price is €110.84. ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €3.84. ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 28.86.

The historical rank and industry rank for ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1COP' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.47   Med: 24.81   Max: 58.48
Current: 28.16

During the past years, ConocoPhillips's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 58.48. The lowest was 11.47. And the median was 24.81.

MIL:1COP's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
76.79% of 392 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 13.98 vs MIL:1COP: 28.16

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

ConocoPhillips's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €1.613. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €3.84 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

ConocoPhillips Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.79 24.77 38.92 34.42 27.61

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.94 28.29 30.05 27.61 30.33

Competitive Comparison of ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=110.84/3.84
=28.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, ConocoPhillips's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=1.613/131.7762*131.7762
=1.613

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.411 100.560 -0.539
201409 -0.446 100.428 -0.585
201412 -1.008 99.070 -1.341
201503 -0.938 99.621 -1.241
201506 -0.311 100.684 -0.407
201509 -0.172 100.392 -0.226
201512 -0.399 99.792 -0.527
201603 -1.010 100.470 -1.325
201606 0.090 101.688 0.117
201609 0.260 101.861 0.336
201612 0.338 101.863 0.437
201703 0.617 102.862 0.790
201706 0.526 103.349 0.671
201709 -0.023 104.136 -0.029
201712 0.683 104.011 0.865
201803 0.591 105.290 0.740
201806 0.973 106.317 1.206
201809 1.323 106.507 1.637
201812 1.642 105.998 2.041
201903 0.970 107.251 1.192
201906 0.909 108.070 1.108
201909 0.540 108.329 0.657
201912 1.134 108.420 1.378
202003 0.381 108.902 0.461
202006 -0.592 108.767 -0.717
202009 -0.208 109.815 -0.250
202012 0.470 109.897 0.564
202103 0.567 111.754 0.669
202106 1.831 114.631 2.105
202109 2.223 115.734 2.531
202112 2.889 117.630 3.236
202203 1.324 121.301 1.438
202206 4.341 125.017 4.576
202209 4.968 125.227 5.228
202212 3.083 125.222 3.244
202303 1.913 127.348 1.980
202306 0.710 128.729 0.727
202309 2.265 129.860 2.298
202312 1.835 129.419 1.868
202403 1.613 131.776 1.613

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


ConocoPhillips  (MIL:1COP) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ConocoPhillips (MIL:1COP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » ConocoPhillips (MIL:1COP) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway, Houston, TX, USA, 77079
ConocoPhillips is a U.S.-based independent exploration and production firm. In 2022, it produced 1.2 million barrels per day of oil and natural gas liquids and 3.1 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas, primarily from Alaska and the Lower 48 in the United States and Norway in Europe and several countries in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Proven reserves at year-end 2022 were 6.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent.

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