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Carnival (LIM:CCL) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Carnival Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.24 44.61 - - -

Carnival Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Travel Services subindustry, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Carnival's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Feb. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2024)
=-0.293/130.9299*130.9299
=-0.293

Current CPI (Feb. 2024) = 130.9299.

Carnival Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201405 0.283 100.373 0.369
201408 0.992 100.352 1.294
201411 -0.346 99.635 -0.455
201502 -0.220 99.032 -0.291
201505 1.379 100.333 1.800
201508 1.227 100.548 1.598
201511 0.501 100.135 0.655
201602 0.609 100.040 0.797
201605 0.328 101.355 0.424
201608 1.325 101.617 1.707
201611 0.520 101.829 0.669
201702 0.714 102.779 0.910
201705 0.646 103.256 0.819
201708 1.394 103.587 1.762
201711 0.523 104.072 0.658
201802 0.682 105.052 0.850
201805 0.554 106.148 0.683
201808 1.083 106.383 1.333
201811 0.211 106.338 0.260
201902 -1.458 106.649 -1.790
201905 1.675 108.048 2.030
201908 1.184 108.245 1.432
201911 -1.335 108.519 -1.611
202002 -0.599 109.139 -0.719
202005 -4.247 108.175 -5.140
202008 -3.969 109.662 -4.739
202011 -3.670 109.793 -4.377
202102 -2.993 110.968 -3.531
202105 -1.539 113.576 -1.774
202108 -1.626 115.421 -1.844
202111 -0.755 117.269 -0.843
202202 -3.467 119.703 -3.792
202205 -0.428 123.323 -0.454
202208 -0.744 124.958 -0.780
202211 -1.032 125.607 -1.076
202302 -0.545 126.928 -0.562
202305 0.348 128.314 0.355
202308 0.714 129.538 0.722
202311 0.196 129.548 0.198
202402 -0.293 130.930 -0.293

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Carnival  (LIM:CCL) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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Carnival (LIM:CCL) Business Description

Industry
Address
3655 N.W. 87th Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33178-2428
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with 92 ships in service at the end of fiscal 2023. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe; and P&O Cruises in Australia. Carnival also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 13 million guests in 2019, prior to COVID-19, a level it has reached again in 2023.