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Air China (HKSE:00753) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 11.33 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Air China Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-06-07), Air China's current share price is HK$4.08. Air China's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$0.36. Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 11.33.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00753' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.71   Med: 17.09   Max: 384
Current: 10.69

During the past years, Air China's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 384.00. The lowest was 9.71. And the median was 17.09.

HKSE:00753's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
68.3% of 429 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 17.71 vs HKSE:00753: 10.69

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Air China's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$0.513. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$0.36 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Air China Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Air China Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Air China Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.28 13.16 14.25 21.05 11.57

Air China Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.58 12.74 12.57 11.57 10.45

Competitive Comparison of Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Airlines subindustry, Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Air China Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=4.08/0.36
=11.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Air China's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Air China's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.513/117.7354*117.7354
=0.513

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 117.7354.

Air China Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.230 96.409 0.281
201409 0.311 97.948 0.374
201412 -0.104 99.707 -0.123
201503 0.236 99.927 0.278
201506 0.593 99.267 0.703
201509 1.231 99.927 1.450
201512 0.349 102.015 0.403
201603 -0.017 102.785 -0.019
201606 -0.243 101.686 -0.281
201609 0.528 102.565 0.606
201612 0.660 103.225 0.753
201703 -0.073 103.335 -0.083
201706 0.316 103.664 0.359
201709 0.525 103.994 0.594
201712 0.003 104.984 0.003
201803 0.267 105.973 0.297
201806 0.095 106.193 0.105
201809 0.903 106.852 0.995
201812 0.371 107.622 0.406
201903 0.376 108.172 0.409
201906 0.569 109.601 0.611
201909 0.647 110.260 0.691
201912 0.475 110.700 0.505
202003 -0.929 110.920 -0.986
202006 -0.280 110.590 -0.298
202009 0.374 107.512 0.410
202012 -0.001 109.711 -0.001
202103 -0.157 111.579 -0.166
202106 0.746 111.360 0.789
202109 0.033 109.051 0.036
202112 -0.026 112.349 -0.027
202203 -0.822 113.558 -0.852
202206 0.107 113.448 0.111
202209 -0.224 113.778 -0.232
202212 -1.123 114.548 -1.154
202303 0.335 115.427 0.342
202306 0.457 115.647 0.465
202309 0.548 116.087 0.556
202312 -0.593 117.296 -0.595
202403 0.513 117.735 0.513

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Air China  (HKSE:00753) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Air China Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Air China's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Air China (HKSE:00753) Business Description

Industry
Address
30 Tianzhu Road, Airport Industrial Zone, Blue Sky Mansion, Shunyi District, Beijing, CHN, 101312
Air China is based in Beijing. It is one of the largest state-owned airlines and the flag carrier in China. The group operated a fleet of 762 aircraft as of 2022 and carried more than 115 million passengers in prepandemic 2019. It runs a spoke-and-hub model under which it gathers and distributes passengers from air hubs such as Beijing, Chengdu, and Shanghai. The group's route network extends to over 187 destinations and 43 countries and regions.
Executives
Cathay Pacific Airways Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
John Swire & Sons Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Swire Pacific Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China National Aviation Corporation (group) Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
China National Aviation Holding Corporation Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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