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Carnival (HAM:CVC1) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Carnival Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.24 44.61 - - -

Carnival Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Travel Services subindustry, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Carnival's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Feb. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2024)
=-0.271/130.9299*130.9299
=-0.271

Current CPI (Feb. 2024) = 130.9299.

Carnival Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201405 0.206 100.373 0.269
201408 0.745 100.352 0.972
201411 -0.277 99.635 -0.364
201502 -0.193 99.032 -0.255
201505 1.235 100.333 1.612
201508 1.102 100.548 1.435
201511 0.467 100.135 0.611
201602 0.549 100.040 0.719
201605 0.290 101.355 0.375
201608 1.182 101.617 1.523
201611 0.482 101.829 0.620
201702 0.671 102.779 0.855
201705 0.585 103.256 0.742
201708 1.181 103.587 1.493
201711 0.446 104.072 0.561
201802 0.552 105.052 0.688
201805 0.469 106.148 0.578
201808 0.938 106.383 1.154
201811 0.186 106.338 0.229
201902 -1.284 106.649 -1.576
201905 1.498 108.048 1.815
201908 1.064 108.245 1.287
201911 -1.208 108.519 -1.457
202002 -0.550 109.139 -0.660
202005 -3.894 108.175 -4.713
202008 -3.354 109.662 -4.004
202011 -3.105 109.793 -3.703
202102 -2.475 110.968 -2.920
202105 -1.266 113.576 -1.459
202108 -1.382 115.421 -1.568
202111 -0.662 117.269 -0.739
202202 -3.054 119.703 -3.340
202205 -0.405 123.323 -0.430
202208 -0.735 124.958 -0.770
202211 -1.012 125.607 -1.055
202302 -0.509 126.928 -0.525
202305 0.321 128.314 0.328
202308 0.655 129.538 0.662
202311 0.181 129.548 0.183
202402 -0.271 130.930 -0.271

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Carnival  (HAM:CVC1) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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Carnival (HAM:CVC1) Business Description

Address
3655 N.W. 87th Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33178-2428
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with 92 ships in service at the end of fiscal 2023. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe; and P&O Cruises in Australia. Carnival also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 13 million guests in 2019, prior to COVID-19, a level it has reached again in 2023.

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