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Morgan Stanley (CHIX:DWDD) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.59 13.99 15.71 18.98 908.17

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.14 40.09 33.32 908.17 30,896.93

Competitive Comparison of Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.018/131.7762*131.7762
=2.018

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.391 100.560 0.512
201409 0.734 100.428 0.963
201412 -2.714 99.070 -3.610
201503 -6.296 99.621 -8.328
201506 1.956 100.684 2.560
201509 0.067 100.392 0.088
201512 1.464 99.792 1.933
201603 1.811 100.470 2.375
201606 5.531 101.688 7.168
201609 -4.144 101.861 -5.361
201612 -1.440 101.863 -1.863
201703 -0.132 102.862 -0.169
201706 -7.111 103.349 -9.067
201709 2.379 104.136 3.010
201712 1.692 104.011 2.144
201803 5.604 105.290 7.014
201806 -6.477 106.317 -8.028
201809 7.003 106.507 8.665
201812 -3.961 105.998 -4.924
201903 8.714 107.251 10.707
201906 5.375 108.070 6.554
201909 7.191 108.329 8.747
201912 -0.282 108.420 -0.343
202003 13.510 108.902 16.348
202006 -9.831 108.767 -11.911
202009 -3.790 109.815 -4.548
202012 -11.834 109.897 -14.190
202103 12.177 111.754 14.359
202106 1.849 114.631 2.126
202109 0.708 115.734 0.806
202112 -0.149 117.630 -0.167
202203 -0.214 121.301 -0.232
202206 7.749 125.017 8.168
202209 -5.005 125.227 -5.267
202212 -8.312 125.222 -8.747
202303 -5.944 127.348 -6.151
202306 -5.880 128.729 -6.019
202309 1.616 129.860 1.640
202312 -10.542 129.419 -10.734
202403 2.018 131.776 2.018

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Morgan Stanley  (CHIX:DWDd) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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Morgan Stanley (CHIX:DWDD) Business Description

Address
1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a global investment bank whose history, through its legacy firms, can be traced back to 1924. The company has institutional securities, wealth management, and investment management segments. The company had over $4 trillion of client assets as well as over 80,000 employees at the end of 2022. Approximately 50% of the company's net revenue is from its institutional securities business, with the remainder coming from wealth and investment management. The company derives about 30% of its total revenue outside the Americas.

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