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Novartis AG (BUE:NVS) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 22.01 (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-06-10), Novartis AG's current share price is ARS31040.00. Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was ARS1,410.49. Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 22.01.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:NVS' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 14.52   Med: 17.79   Max: 21.84
Current: 20.11

During the past years, Novartis AG's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 21.84. The lowest was 14.52. And the median was 17.79.

BUE:NVS's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
66.15% of 322 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 31.865 vs BUE:NVS: 20.11

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Novartis AG's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was ARS908.884. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS1,410.49 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Novartis AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.49 19.15 17.79 17.74 18.20

Novartis AG Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.27 18.32 18.84 18.20 18.50

Competitive Comparison of Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=31040.00/1410.49
=22.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Novartis AG's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=908.884/107.3549*107.3549
=908.884

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 107.3549.

Novartis AG Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 15.645 101.517 16.545
201409 20.616 101.247 21.860
201412 30.405 100.704 32.413
201503 7.132 100.339 7.631
201506 13.850 100.464 14.800
201509 18.095 99.785 19.468
201512 34.112 99.386 36.847
201603 10.146 99.475 10.950
201606 28.367 100.088 30.427
201609 28.703 99.604 30.937
201612 37.214 99.380 40.200
201703 19.244 100.040 20.651
201706 42.092 100.285 45.059
201709 43.337 100.254 46.407
201712 46.786 100.213 50.120
201803 31.593 100.836 33.636
201806 73.544 101.435 77.836
201809 101.016 101.246 107.112
201812 100.375 100.906 106.790
201903 65.412 101.571 69.137
201906 102.304 102.044 107.629
201909 194.633 101.396 206.072
201912 150.483 101.063 159.851
202003 110.761 101.048 117.675
202006 208.530 100.743 222.216
202009 163.122 100.585 174.102
202012 212.500 100.241 227.581
202103 101.176 100.800 107.756
202106 296.608 101.352 314.175
202109 380.535 101.533 402.357
202112 297.287 101.776 313.584
202203 75.837 103.205 78.886
202206 345.262 104.783 353.737
202209 541.650 104.835 554.671
202212 561.371 104.666 575.792
202303 478.593 106.245 483.594
202306 591.122 106.576 595.445
202309 1,583.629 106.570 1,595.300
202312 614.083 106.461 619.238
202403 908.884 107.355 908.884

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Novartis AG  (BUE:NVS) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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Novartis AG (BUE:NVS) Business Description

Industry
Address
Lichtstrasse 35, Basel, CHE, 4056
Novartis develops and manufactures innovative drugs. The firm's key areas of drug development include oncology, rare diseases, neuroscience, immunology, respiratory, cardio-metabolic, and established medicines. The company sells its products globally, with the United States representing close to one third of total revenue.

Novartis AG (BUE:NVS) Headlines