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Microsoft (BSP:MSFT34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 66.14 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-22), Microsoft's current share price is R$91.27. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was R$1.38. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 66.14.

The historical rank and industry rank for Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:MSFT34' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 13.66   Med: 32.13   Max: 71.78
Current: 65.03

During the past years, Microsoft's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 71.78. The lowest was 13.66. And the median was 32.13.

BSP:MSFT34's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
72.73% of 649 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 29.5 vs BSP:MSFT34: 65.03

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was R$0.582. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$1.38 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.52 51.04 58.80 46.91 56.17

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.73 56.17 50.25 59.29 63.76

Competitive Comparison of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=91.27/1.38
=66.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Microsoft's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.582/131.7762*131.7762
=0.582

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.094 100.560 0.123
201409 0.082 100.428 0.108
201412 0.038 99.070 0.051
201503 0.130 99.621 0.172
201506 0.081 100.684 0.106
201509 0.151 100.392 0.198
201512 0.072 99.792 0.095
201603 0.156 100.470 0.205
201606 0.105 101.688 0.136
201609 0.162 101.861 0.210
201612 0.077 101.863 0.100
201703 0.150 102.862 0.192
201706 0.153 103.349 0.195
201709 0.173 104.136 0.219
201712 0.094 104.011 0.119
201803 0.162 105.290 0.203
201806 0.150 106.317 0.186
201809 0.222 106.507 0.275
201812 0.108 105.998 0.134
201903 0.226 107.251 0.278
201906 0.250 108.070 0.305
201909 0.232 108.329 0.282
201912 0.159 108.420 0.193
202003 0.364 108.902 0.440
202006 0.393 108.767 0.476
202009 0.425 109.815 0.510
202012 0.235 109.897 0.282
202103 0.528 111.754 0.623
202106 0.449 114.631 0.516
202109 0.544 115.734 0.619
202112 0.269 117.630 0.301
202203 0.552 121.301 0.600
202206 0.498 125.017 0.525
202209 0.494 125.227 0.520
202212 0.143 125.222 0.150
202303 0.519 127.348 0.537
202306 0.537 128.729 0.550
202309 0.570 129.860 0.578
202312 0.249 129.419 0.254
202403 0.582 131.776 0.582

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Microsoft  (BSP:MSFT34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Microsoft (BSP:MSFT34) Business Description

Industry
Address
One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052-6399
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

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