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The Estee Lauder (BSP:ELCI34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 28.20 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-06-06), The Estee Lauder's current share price is R$27.07. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was R$0.96. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 28.20.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:ELCI34' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 25.16   Med: 49.3   Max: 84.14
Current: 26.77

During the past years, The Estee Lauder's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 84.14. The lowest was 25.16. And the median was 49.30.

BSP:ELCI34's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
55.15% of 718 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 23.255 vs BSP:ELCI34: 26.77

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The Estee Lauder's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was R$0.206. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$0.96 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

The Estee Lauder Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.25 53.47 73.11 50.11 43.18

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.62 43.18 32.77 32.51 33.57

Competitive Comparison of The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=27.07/0.96
=28.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, The Estee Lauder's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.206/131.7762*131.7762
=0.206

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.047 100.560 0.062
201409 0.012 100.428 0.016
201412 0.216 99.070 0.287
201503 0.102 99.621 0.135
201506 0.123 100.684 0.161
201509 -0.035 100.392 -0.046
201512 0.353 99.792 0.466
201603 0.100 100.470 0.131
201606 0.107 101.688 0.139
201609 -0.085 101.861 -0.110
201612 0.319 101.863 0.413
201703 0.112 102.862 0.143
201706 0.129 103.349 0.164
201709 -0.012 104.136 -0.015
201712 0.442 104.011 0.560
201803 0.137 105.290 0.171
201806 0.159 106.317 0.197
201809 -0.113 106.507 -0.140
201812 0.537 105.998 0.668
201903 0.145 107.251 0.178
201906 0.199 108.070 0.243
201909 -0.137 108.329 -0.167
201912 0.587 108.420 0.713
202003 0.290 108.902 0.351
202006 0.106 108.767 0.128
202009 0.148 109.815 0.178
202012 0.866 109.897 1.038
202103 0.422 111.754 0.498
202106 0.343 114.631 0.394
202109 -0.171 115.734 -0.195
202112 1.077 117.630 1.207
202203 -0.043 121.301 -0.047
202206 0.400 125.017 0.422
202209 -0.485 125.227 -0.510
202212 0.688 125.222 0.724
202303 0.015 127.348 0.016
202306 -1.073 128.729 -1.098
202309 -0.401 129.860 -0.407
202312 0.631 129.419 0.642
202403 0.206 131.776 0.206

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


The Estee Lauder  (BSP:ELCI34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Estee Lauder (BSP:ELCI34) Business Description

Address
767 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10153
Estee Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (56% of 2022 sales), makeup (26%), fragrance (14%), and hair care (4%) categories, with top-selling brands such as Estee Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 26% of revenue from the Americas, 43% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 31% from Asia Pacific. Estee Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.

The Estee Lauder (BSP:ELCI34) Headlines

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