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Dollar Tree (BSP:DLTR34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 32.26 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-14), Dollar Tree's current share price is R$332.31. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was R$10.30. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 32.26.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:DLTR34' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 22.48   Med: 38.16   Max: 59.36
Current: 29.65

During the past years, Dollar Tree's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 59.36. The lowest was 22.48. And the median was 38.16.

BSP:DLTR34's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
79.03% of 124 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 15.52 vs BSP:DLTR34: 29.65

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was R$5.297. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$10.30 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.03 28.60 34.76 37.78 32.22

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.78 36.63 37.93 27.16 32.22

Competitive Comparison of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=332.31/10.3
=32.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=5.297/129.4194*129.4194
=5.297

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 0.679 100.023 0.879
201407 0.424 100.520 0.546
201410 -0.421 100.176 -0.544
201501 3.074 98.604 4.035
201504 0.613 99.824 0.795
201507 -2.073 100.691 -2.664
201510 -1.432 100.346 -1.847
201601 5.916 99.957 7.660
201604 1.018 100.947 1.305
201607 1.311 101.524 1.671
201610 -0.811 101.988 -1.029
201701 6.081 102.456 7.681
201704 2.119 103.167 2.658
201707 0.560 103.278 0.702
201710 -1.748 104.070 -2.174
201801 4.952 104.578 6.128
201804 1.476 105.708 1.807
201807 1.342 106.324 1.634
201810 0.426 106.695 0.517
201901 4.083 106.200 4.976
201904 3.300 107.818 3.961
201907 -0.524 108.250 -0.626
201910 -0.941 108.577 -1.122
202001 5.259 108.841 6.253
202004 8.098 108.173 9.689
202007 2.689 109.318 3.183
202010 0.713 109.861 0.840
202101 9.006 110.364 10.561
202104 3.933 112.673 4.518
202107 -0.551 115.183 -0.619
202110 -0.160 116.696 -0.177
202201 1.706 118.619 1.861
202204 2.978 121.978 3.160
202207 -3.519 125.002 -3.643
202210 -2.108 125.734 -2.170
202301 6.465 126.223 6.629
202304 4.534 127.992 4.585
202307 -2.792 128.974 -2.802
202310 -0.409 129.810 -0.408
202401 5.297 129.419 5.297

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Dollar Tree  (BSP:DLTR34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree (BSP:DLTR34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores across the United States and Canada, with over 8,200 shops under its namesake banner and 8,350 under Family Dollar. About 45% of Dollar Tree's sales in fiscal 2022 were composed of consumables (including food, health and beauty, and cleaning products), nearly 50% from variety items (including toys and homewares), and over 5% from seasonal items. The Dollar Tree banner sells most of its merchandise at the $1.25 price point and positions its stores in well-populated suburban markets. Conversely, Family Dollar primarily sells consumable merchandise (nearly 80% of the banner's sales) at prices below $10. About two-thirds of Family Dollar's stores are located in urban and suburban markets, with the remaining one-third located in rural areas.

Dollar Tree (BSP:DLTR34) Headlines

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