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ConocoPhillips (BSP:COPH34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 29.51 (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-18), ConocoPhillips's current share price is R$51.64. ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was R$1.75. ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 29.51.

The historical rank and industry rank for ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:COPH34' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.47   Med: 24.72   Max: 58.48
Current: 29

During the past years, ConocoPhillips's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 58.48. The lowest was 11.47. And the median was 24.72.

BSP:COPH34's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
75.06% of 397 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 14 vs BSP:COPH34: 29.00

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

ConocoPhillips's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was R$0.727. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$1.75 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

ConocoPhillips Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.79 24.77 38.92 34.42 27.61

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.94 28.29 30.05 27.61 30.33

Competitive Comparison of ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=51.64/1.75
=29.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, ConocoPhillips's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.727/131.7762*131.7762
=0.727

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.104 100.560 -0.136
201409 -0.112 100.428 -0.147
201412 -0.274 99.070 -0.364
201503 -0.266 99.621 -0.352
201506 -0.090 100.684 -0.118
201509 -0.063 100.392 -0.083
201512 -0.141 99.792 -0.186
201603 -0.347 100.470 -0.455
201606 0.029 101.688 0.038
201609 0.079 101.861 0.102
201612 0.100 101.863 0.129
201703 0.172 102.862 0.220
201706 0.162 103.349 0.207
201709 -0.007 104.136 -0.009
201712 0.222 104.011 0.281
201803 0.199 105.290 0.249
201806 0.357 106.317 0.442
201809 0.529 106.507 0.655
201812 0.604 105.998 0.751
201903 0.351 107.251 0.431
201906 0.330 108.070 0.402
201909 0.204 108.329 0.248
201912 0.431 108.420 0.524
202003 0.171 108.902 0.207
202006 -0.288 108.767 -0.349
202009 -0.110 109.815 -0.132
202012 0.245 109.897 0.294
202103 0.317 111.754 0.374
202106 0.925 114.631 1.063
202109 1.151 115.734 1.311
202112 1.538 117.630 1.723
202203 0.605 121.301 0.657
202206 1.930 125.017 2.034
202209 2.149 125.227 2.261
202212 1.428 125.222 1.503
202303 0.889 127.348 0.920
202306 0.311 128.729 0.318
202309 0.995 129.860 1.010
202312 0.817 129.419 0.832
202403 0.727 131.776 0.727

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


ConocoPhillips  (BSP:COPH34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ConocoPhillips (BSP:COPH34) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » ConocoPhillips (BSP:COPH34) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway, Houston, TX, USA, 77079
ConocoPhillips is a U.S.-based independent exploration and production firm. In 2022, it produced 1.2 million barrels per day of oil and natural gas liquids and 3.1 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas, primarily from Alaska and the Lower 48 in the United States and Norway in Europe and several countries in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Proven reserves at year-end 2022 were 6.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent.

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